- Kentucky is a -23.5 point favorite vs. E Michigan
- Eastern Michigan vs. Kentucky Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
Eastern Michigan (0-2) visit Kroger Field to take on Kentucky (1-1) on Sep. 13 in Lexington, KY. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Kentucky is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -23.5 (-115).
The Eastern Michigan vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Eastern Michigan vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Eastern Michigan | +23.5 -105 | 46.5 -115 | 1150 |
| Kentucky | -23.5 -115 | 46.5 -105 | -2500 |
Eastern Michigan vs Kentucky Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this game with 87.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both E Michigan and Kentucky, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Eastern Michigan vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Eastern Michigan Best Bets Today
- Eastern Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- Eastern Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- Eastern Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Eastern Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Kentucky Best Bets Today
- Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.75 Units / 64% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Eastern Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
E Michigan is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Eastern Michigan is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -17 Units / -100% ROI
- Eastern Michigan is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Eastern Michigan is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kentucky iss 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Kentucky is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Kentucky is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Kentucky is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Eastern Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky
Eastern Michigan was 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .382
Eastern Michigan was 2-5 (.286) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Eastern Michigan was 2-7 (.222) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .379
Eastern Michigan is 4-8 (.333) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .428
Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Eastern Michigan
Kentucky is 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .484
Kentucky is 4-8 (.333) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .682
Kentucky was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515
Kentucky was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481
Matchup Notes for Eastern Michigan vs. Kentucky
Kentucky’s WRs has 128 receptions in 14 games (just 9.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among SEC WRs. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.5 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky’s WRs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among SEC WRs. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed 13.5 RAC since the 2024 season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kentucky’s WRs has 128 receptions in 14 games (just 9.1 per game) since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.5 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Eastern Michigan’s RBs has rushed for 1,579 yards on 363 carries (just 4.3 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS RBs. Kentucky’s defense have allowed 4.3 YPC since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Eastern Michigan’s WRs has averaged just 10.1 yards after the catch this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 15.9 RAC to WRs this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Eastern Michigan’s WRs has averaged just 10.1 yards after the catch this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 14.0 RAC this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Eastern Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Eastern Michigan’s RBs has rushed for 1,579 yards on 363 carries (just 4.3 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS RBs. Kentucky’s defense have allowed 4.3 YPC since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Eastern Michigan Skill Players averaged 18.7 yards per reception (598 yards/32 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
Eastern Michigan WRs averaged 22.8 yards per reception (525 yards/23 catches) in close and late situations last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2
Eastern Michigan TEs have 42 receiving yards in close and late situations this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Eastern Michigan’s WRs has averaged just 10.1 yards after the catch this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS WRs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 15.9 RAC to WRs this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends
Kentucky WRs have averaged just 3.0 yards per reception (12 yards/4 catches) this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 13.4
Kentucky WRs have averaged just 3.0 yards per reception (12 yards/4 catches) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.2
Kentucky’s WRs has 128 receptions in 14 games (just 9.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among SEC WRs. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.5 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky WRs have averaged just 3.0 yards per reception (12 yards/4 catches) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5
Kentucky WRs caught just 114 of 220 passes(52% Reception Pct) last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 61%
Eastern Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends
Eastern Michigan has allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Eastern Michigan did not record a sack (24 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6
Eastern Michigan has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 14 of 39 carries (36%) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%
Eastern Michigan has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 14 of 39 carries (36%) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 11%
Eastern Michigan has allowed 383.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 123.0
Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends
Kentucky defense has allowed 4 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– most in the SEC
Kentucky has averaged 1.00 interceptions per game (1/1) this season– T-2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 0.56
Kentucky’s opponents attempted just 23.2 passes per game last season– lowest in the SEC; Average: 29.8
Kentucky has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 47 of 343 attempts (14%) since the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 10%
Kentucky sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (24/279) last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: 7%
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