Duke vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

• Duke is a -6.5 point favorite vs. North Carolina
• Duke vs. North Carolina Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
• TV Channel: ACCN

Duke (5-5) visit Kenan Stadium to take on North Carolina (4-6) on Nov. 22 in Chapel Hill, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Duke is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Duke vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

Bet now on North Carolina vs Duke & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Duke vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Duke vs North Carolina Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this game with 66.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Duke and North Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Duke vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on North Carolina vs Duke and all games with BetMGM

Duke Best Bets Today

• Duke has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
• Duke has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.90 Units / 47% ROI)
• Duke has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
• Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
• Duke have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)

North Carolina Best Bets Today

• North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.81 Units / 52% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.50 Units / 6% ROI)

Duke Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Duke is 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.55 Units / -23.29% ROI).

• Duke is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -27.4% ROI
• Duke is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.48% ROI
• Duke is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.65 Units / -42.47% ROI

North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Carolina iss 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• North Carolina is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -4.84% ROI
• North Carolina is 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.75 Units / -52.04% ROI
• North Carolina is 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 43.84% ROI

Duke: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina

North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

North Carolina was 3-6 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .479

North Carolina was winless (0-6) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .379

North Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Duke

North Carolina allowed passes of 40+ yards on 16 of 387 attempts (4%) last season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 2%

North Carolina sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (45/387) last season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

North Carolina sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (45/387) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

North Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 84 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 23rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

North Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 27 rushing attempts (15% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Matchup Notes for Duke vs. North Carolina

North Carolina allowed passes of 40+ yards on 16 of 387 attempts (4%) last season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 2%

North Carolina sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (45/387) last season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

North Carolina sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (45/387) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

North Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 84 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 23rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

North Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 27 rushing attempts (15% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

North Carolina was 3-6 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .479

North Carolina was winless (0-6) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

North Carolina was 3-6 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .479

North Carolina was winless (0-6) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .379

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina allowed passes of 40+ yards on 16 of 387 attempts (4%) last season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 2%

North Carolina sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (45/387) last season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

North Carolina sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (45/387) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

North Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 84 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 23rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

North Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 27 rushing attempts (15% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

North Carolina was 3-6 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .479

North Carolina was winless (0-6) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .379

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina allowed passes of 40+ yards on 16 of 387 attempts (4%) last season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 2%

North Carolina sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (45/387) last season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

North Carolina sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (45/387) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

North Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 84 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 23rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

North Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 27 rushing attempts (15% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Bet now on North Carolina vs Duke and all games with BetMGM

More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!