Delaware vs Sam Houston St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • Delaware is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Sam Houston St
  • Delaware vs. Sam Houston State Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Delaware (5-4) visit Shell Energy Stadium to take on Sam Houston State (1-8) on Nov. 15 in Houston, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.

Delaware is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Delaware vs. Sam Houston State Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Delaware vs. Sam Houston State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Delaware-9.5 -11056.5 -110-375
Sam Houston State +9.5 -11056.5 -110300

Delaware vs Sam Houston State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Delaware will win this game with 74.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Delaware and Sam Houston St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Delaware vs Sam Houston State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Sam Houston will cover the spread with 51.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Delaware has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.62 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Delaware has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Delaware have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Delaware has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+3.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Delaware has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Sam Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Sam Houston State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (+3.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Sam Houston has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Sam Houston State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Sam Houston has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Delaware Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Delaware is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Delaware is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 5.14% ROI
  • Delaware is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Delaware is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Sam Houston State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Sam Houston St iss against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Sam Houston State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Sam Houston State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Sam Houston State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Delaware: Keys to the Game vs. Sam Houston State

Delaware is winless (0-1) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .545

Delaware is winless (0-1) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .482

Delaware is 5-1 (.833) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .479

Delaware is 5-2 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .393

Sam Houston State: Keys to the Game vs. Delaware

Sam Houston TEs had no touchdowns on 15 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.6

Sam Houston’s WRs has gained 1,044 yards on 91 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) this season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. Delaware’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Sam Houston has gained 1,551 yards on 156 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — T-7th-worst among FBS skill players. Delaware’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Sam Houston’s RBs has averaged 6.9 targets per game this season — T-12th-highest among FBS RBs. Delaware’s defense has allowed 4.6 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Sam Houston QBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Matchup Notes for Delaware vs. Sam Houston State

Sam Houston TEs had no touchdowns on 15 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.6

Sam Houston’s WRs has gained 1,044 yards on 91 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) this season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. Delaware’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Sam Houston has gained 1,551 yards on 156 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — T-7th-worst among FBS skill players. Delaware’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Sam Houston’s RBs has averaged 6.9 targets per game this season — T-12th-highest among FBS RBs. Delaware’s defense has allowed 4.6 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Sam Houston QBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Delaware is winless (0-1) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .545

Delaware is winless (0-1) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .482

Delaware is 5-1 (.833) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .479

Delaware is 5-2 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .393

Delaware Offensive Stats & Trends

Delaware is winless (0-1) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .545

Delaware is winless (0-1) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .482

Delaware is 5-1 (.833) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .479

Delaware is 5-2 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .393

Sam Houston State Offensive Stats & Trends

Sam Houston TEs had no touchdowns on 15 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.6

Sam Houston’s WRs has gained 1,044 yards on 91 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) this season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. Delaware’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Sam Houston has gained 1,551 yards on 156 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — T-7th-worst among FBS skill players. Delaware’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Sam Houston’s RBs has averaged 6.9 targets per game this season — T-12th-highest among FBS RBs. Delaware’s defense has allowed 4.6 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Sam Houston QBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Delaware Defensive Stats & Trends

Delaware is winless (0-1) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .545

Delaware is winless (0-1) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .482

Delaware is 5-1 (.833) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .479

Delaware is 5-2 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .393

Sam Houston State Defensive Stats & Trends

Sam Houston TEs had no touchdowns on 15 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.6

Sam Houston’s WRs has gained 1,044 yards on 91 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) this season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. Delaware’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Sam Houston has gained 1,551 yards on 156 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — T-7th-worst among FBS skill players. Delaware’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Sam Houston’s RBs has averaged 6.9 targets per game this season — T-12th-highest among FBS RBs. Delaware’s defense has allowed 4.6 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Sam Houston QBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams


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