Connecticut vs Florida Atlantic Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

BetMGM Betting Nov 19, 2025, 12:29 PM

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Connecticut is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Florida Atlantic
Connecticut vs. Florida Atlantic Total (Over/Under): 66.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN+

Connecticut (8-3) visit Flagler Credit Union Stadium to take on Florida Atlantic (4-6) on Nov. 22 in Boca Raton, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST.

Connecticut is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Connecticut vs. Florida Atlantic Over/Under is 66.5 total points.

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Connecticut vs. Florida Atlantic Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Connecticut	-7.5 -105	66.5 -118	-295
Florida Atlantic	+7.5 -115	66.5 -102	240

Connecticut vs Florida Atlantic Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UConn will win this game with 70.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Connecticut and Florida Atlantic, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Connecticut vs Florida Atlantic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida Atlantic will cover the spread with 50.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Connecticut Best Bets Today

Connecticut have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 30% ROI)
UConn has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
Connecticut has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)
Connecticut have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 games (+3.60 Units / 23% ROI)
Connecticut has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)

Florida Atlantic Best Bets Today

Florida Atlantic have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.65 Units / 64% ROI)
Florida Atlantic has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)
Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 41% ROI)
Florida Atlantic has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.42 Units / 23% ROI)
Florida Atlantic has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)

Connecticut Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Connecticut is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Connecticut is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Connecticut is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Connecticut is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Florida Atlantic Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida Atlantic iss 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).

Florida Atlantic is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -5.24% ROI
Florida Atlantic is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
Florida Atlantic is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Connecticut: Keys to the Game vs. Florida Atlantic

Florida Atlantic has allowed 9.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (355 yards / 36 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.1

Florida Atlantic did not record a sack (43 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Florida Atlantic has allowed 9.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (355 yards / 36 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 5.1

Florida Atlantic has intercepted 3 of 294 attempts (98.0 pass attempts per int.) this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 38.4

Florida Atlantic allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (24 completions/58 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 55%

Florida Atlantic: Keys to the Game vs. Connecticut

Florida Atlantic was winless (0-8) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Florida Atlantic was winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

Florida Atlantic was winless (0-8) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Florida Atlantic was 1-8 (.111) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Matchup Notes for Connecticut vs. Florida Atlantic