Connecticut vs Army Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Fenway Bowl

BetMGM Betting Dec 19, 2025, 5:55 PM

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Army is a -10 point favorite vs. Connecticut
Connecticut vs. Army Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
Fenway Bowl TV Channel: ESPN

Connecticut (9-3) visit Fenway Park to take on Army (6-6) on Dec. 27 in Boston, MA. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:15pm EST.

Army is a betting favorite in the Fenway Bowl, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).

The Connecticut vs. Army Over/Under is 43.5 total points.

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Connecticut vs. Army Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Connecticut	+10 -110	43.5 -105	275
Army	-10 -110	43.5 -115	-350

Connecticut vs Army Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Army will win this game with 56.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Connecticut and Army, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Connecticut vs Army Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UConn will cover the spread with 50.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Connecticut Best Bets Today

Connecticut has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.65 Units / 22% ROI)
Connecticut have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 41% ROI)
UConn has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)
Connecticut has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+3.50 Units / 6% ROI)

Army Best Bets Today

Army has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 45% ROI)
Army has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Army has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 13% ROI)
Army have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.20 Units / 15% ROI)
Army has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+2.00 Units / 12% ROI)

Connecticut Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Connecticut is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Connecticut is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Connecticut is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Connecticut is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Army Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Army iss 6-6 against the spread this college football season (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI).

Army is 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -2.91% ROI
Army is 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
Army is 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI

Connecticut: Keys to the Game vs. Army

Army have averaged just 5.0 receptions per game (40/8) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.3

Army Skill Players have been targeted 8.8 times per game (70/8) this season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.8

Army Skill Players were targeted 8.6 times per game (120/14) last season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.7

Army completed passes for 20+ yards on 23 of their 122 total passing attempts (19%) last season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 10%

Army Skill Players averaged just 4.7 receptions per game (66/14) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

Army: Keys to the Game vs. Connecticut

Army has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.7

Army has averaged a sack every 33.6 pass attempts (235 Pass Attempts/7 Sacks) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.4

Army has allowed opponents to catch 25 of 31 passes (81% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 56%

Army allowed 27.2 carries per game (381 carries / 14 games) last season– lowest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.3

Army has tackled opponents for a loss on just 27 of 248 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) this season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Matchup Notes for Connecticut vs. Army