Colorado vs West Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

BetMGM Betting Nov 07, 2025, 10:55 AM

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(Photo by 1022 Project/Shutterstock)

West Virginia is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Colorado
Colorado vs. West Virginia Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
TV Channel: TNT | tru | HBOM

Colorado (3-6) visit Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium to take on West Virginia (3-6) on Nov. 8 in Morgantown, WV. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

West Virginia is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Colorado vs. West Virginia Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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Colorado vs. West Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Colorado	+6.5 -110	55.5 -115	185
West Virginia	-6.5 -110	55.5 -105	-220

Colorado vs West Virginia Prediction:

The winning team model predicts West Virginia will win this game with 66.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado and West Virginia, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Colorado vs West Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts West Virginia will cover the spread with 54.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Colorado Best Bets Today

Colorado has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 46% ROI)
Colorado has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Colorado has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.05 Units / 7% ROI)

West Virginia Best Bets Today

West Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 24% ROI)
West Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.37 Units / 15% ROI)
West Virginia have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.80 Units / 23% ROI)
West Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.15 Units / 7% ROI)

Colorado Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

Colorado is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -8.08% ROI
Colorado is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
Colorado is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

West Virginia iss 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).

West Virginia is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 2.44% ROI
West Virginia is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
West Virginia is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Colorado: Keys to the Game vs. West Virginia

Colorado sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (39/391) last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 6%

Colorado allowed 48.2 receiving yards per game (627/13) to RBs last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 25.0

Colorado sacked opponents 39 times last season– most in the Big 12

Colorado averaged 3.0 sacks per game last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 1.9

Colorado has forced 3 fumbles on 330 carries (110.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 43.5

West Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado

Colorado TEs have averaged just 6.6 yards per reception (112 yards/17 catches) since the 2024 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.1

Colorado WRs averaged 23.3 receptions per game (303/13) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3

Colorado TEs have averaged just 6.6 yards per reception (112 yards/17 catches) since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.1

Colorado WRs had 40 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Colorado WRs averaged 23.3 receptions per game (303/13) last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.2

Matchup Notes for Colorado vs. West Virginia