Colorado St vs Washington Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 1

Washington linebacker Alphonzo Tuputala is pictured during an NCAA football game against Boise State on Saturday, Sept. 2, 2023, in Seattle. Washington won 56-19. (AP Photo/Stephen Brashear)
(AP Photo/Stephen Brashear)
  • Washington is a -21.5 point favorite vs. Colorado St
  • Colorado State vs. Washington Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
  • TV Channel: BTN

The Colorado State (0-0) visit Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium to take on the Washington (0-0) on Aug. 30 in Seattle, WA. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:00pm EDT.

Washington is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-110).

The Colorado State vs. Washington Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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Colorado State vs. Washington Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Colorado State+21.5 -11053.5 -105+1000
Washington -21.5 -11053.5 -115-2000

Colorado State vs Washington Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Washington will win this game with 84.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado St and Washington, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Colorado State vs Washington Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Washington will cover the spread with 60.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Colorado State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Washington have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 29% ROI)

Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. Washington

Colorado State was 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .633

Colorado State was 6-2 (.750) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2024 season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .476

Colorado State was 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .616

Colorado State is 9-2 (.818) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .637

Washington: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State

Washington is 15-2 (.882) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .603

Washington is 11-2 (.846) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .503

Washington is 13-2 (.867) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– 12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .702

Washington is 11-5 (.688) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .523

Matchup Notes for Colorado State vs. Washington

Washington’s WRs averaged 22.0 targets per game last season — 5th-highest among Big Ten WRs. Colorado State’s defense allowed 14.0 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington’s WRs had 185.2 receiving yards per game last season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Colorado State’s defense allowed 177.9 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington had 261.5 receiving yards per game last season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Colorado State’s defense allowed just 27.5 receiving yards per game to TEs last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s RBs averaged just 6.3 yards after the catch last season — 21st-worst among FBS RBs. Washington’s defense allowed just 10.3 RAC last season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Colorado State’s RBs averaged just 6.3 yards after the catch last season — 21st-worst among FBS RBs. Washington’s defense allowed just 10.3 RAC last season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s RBs gained 194 yards on 31 receptions (just 6.3 YPR) last season — 22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Washington’s defense allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State’s RBs averaged just 6.3 yards after the catch last season — 21st-worst among FBS RBs. Washington’s defense allowed just 10.3 RAC last season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Colorado State’s RBs averaged just 6.3 yards after the catch last season — 21st-worst among FBS RBs. Washington’s defense allowed just 10.3 RAC last season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State RBs have no touchdowns on 51 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 20.9

Colorado State RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Colorado State’s RBs gained 194 yards on 31 receptions (just 6.3 YPR) last season — 22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Washington’s defense allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Washington Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington’s WRs averaged 22.0 targets per game last season — 5th-highest among Big Ten WRs. Colorado State’s defense allowed 14.0 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington RBs have no touchdowns on 86 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 20.9

Washington’s WRs had 185.2 receiving yards per game last season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Colorado State’s defense allowed 177.9 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Washington Skill Players caught 65 of 82 passes(79% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Washington Skill Players caught 65 of 82 passes(79% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 60%

Colorado State Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 72 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Colorado State did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.2

Colorado State averaged a sack every 26.7 pass attempts (427 Pass Attempts/16 Sacks) in the 2024 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 14.6

Colorado State allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (278 completions/388 attempts) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Colorado State has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 72 rushing attempts (14% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 29th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Washington Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington allowed 3,879 Passing Yards in the 2023 season– most in the Big Ten

Washington has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (42/931) since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Washington has tackled opponents for a loss on just 95 of 902 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.

Washington tackled opponents for a loss on just 44 of 428 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the 2024 season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.

Washington tackled opponents for a loss on just 44 of 428 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the 2024 season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.


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