Colorado St vs New Mexico Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • New Mexico is a -14.5 point favorite vs. Colorado St
  • Colorado State vs. New Mexico Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
  • TV Channel: ALT

Colorado State (2-7) visit Dreamstyle Stadium to take on New Mexico (6-3) on Nov. 15 in Albuquerque, NM. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST.

New Mexico is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Colorado State vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

Bet now on New Mexico vs Colorado St & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Colorado State vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Colorado State+14.5 -11053.5 -110450
New Mexico -14.5 -11053.5 -110-625

Colorado State vs New Mexico Prediction:

The winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this game with 78.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado St and New Mexico, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Colorado State vs New Mexico Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on New Mexico vs Colorado St and all games with BetMGM


  • Colorado State has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.56 Units / 36% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)

Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado St is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Colorado State is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -70.59% ROI
  • Colorado State is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Colorado State is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record

New Mexico iss 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • New Mexico is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.2 Units / 31.84% ROI
  • New Mexico is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • New Mexico is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico

New Mexico was winless (0-1) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .420

New Mexico was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

New Mexico is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .591

New Mexico is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .551

New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State

Colorado State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 31.0 receptions (93 Rec/3 TDs) this season– T-4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Colorado State RBs have picked up first downs on 4 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Colorado State’s QBs has thrown for 1,680 passing yards in 9 games (just 186.7 YPG) this season — 30th-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 260.0 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado State have just 185.0 receiving yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 260.0 receiving yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 1,689 passing yards in 9 games (just 187.7 YPG) this season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 260.0 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Colorado State vs. New Mexico

Colorado State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 31.0 receptions (93 Rec/3 TDs) this season– T-4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Colorado State RBs have picked up first downs on 4 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Colorado State’s QBs has thrown for 1,680 passing yards in 9 games (just 186.7 YPG) this season — 30th-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 260.0 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado State have just 185.0 receiving yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 260.0 receiving yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 1,689 passing yards in 9 games (just 187.7 YPG) this season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 260.0 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

New Mexico was winless (0-1) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .420

New Mexico was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

New Mexico is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .591

New Mexico is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .551

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico was winless (0-1) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .420

New Mexico was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

New Mexico is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .591

New Mexico is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .551

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 31.0 receptions (93 Rec/3 TDs) this season– T-4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Colorado State RBs have picked up first downs on 4 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Colorado State’s QBs has thrown for 1,680 passing yards in 9 games (just 186.7 YPG) this season — 30th-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 260.0 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado State have just 185.0 receiving yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 260.0 receiving yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 1,689 passing yards in 9 games (just 187.7 YPG) this season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 260.0 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado State Defensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico was winless (0-1) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .420

New Mexico was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

New Mexico is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .591

New Mexico is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .551

New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 31.0 receptions (93 Rec/3 TDs) this season– T-4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Colorado State RBs have picked up first downs on 4 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Colorado State’s QBs has thrown for 1,680 passing yards in 9 games (just 186.7 YPG) this season — 30th-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 260.0 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado State have just 185.0 receiving yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 260.0 receiving yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 1,689 passing yards in 9 games (just 187.7 YPG) this season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 260.0 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.


Bet now on New Mexico vs Colorado St and all games with BetMGM


More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether youโ€™re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.