Coastal Carolina vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 1

Virginia coach Tony Elliott reacts to a call on the field during the first half of the team's NCAA college football game against Duke in Durham, N.C., Saturday, Oct. 1, 2022.
(AP Photo/Ben McKeown)
  • Virginia is a -12 point favorite vs. Coastal Carolina
  • Coastal Carolina vs. Virginia Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

The Coastal Carolina (0-0) visit Scott Stadium to take on the Virginia (0-0) on Aug. 30 in Charlottesville, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT.

Virginia is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -12 (-110).

The Coastal Carolina vs. Virginia Over/Under is 58.5 total points.

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Coastal Carolina vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Coastal Carolina+12 -11058.5 -110+350
Virginia -12 -11058.5 -110-450

Coastal Carolina vs Virginia Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this game with 74.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Coastal Carolina and Virginia, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Coastal Carolina vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Coastal Carolina will cover the spread with 62.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Coastal Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.15 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.60 Units / 6% ROI)

Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Coastal Carolina

Virginia is 2-11 (.154) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .501

Virginia was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs in the 2024 season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .460

Virginia is 4-15 (.211) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .441

Virginia is 6-16 (.273) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .431

Matchup Notes for Coastal Carolina vs. Virginia

Virginia’s TEs gained 492 yards on 51 receptions (just 9.6 YPR) last season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. Coastal Carolina’s defense allowed just 6.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — best among FBS defenses.

Virginia gained 2,721 yards on 245 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) last season — T-2nd-worst among ACC skill players. Coastal Carolina’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia’s RBs averaged 10.9 yards after the catch last season — 13th-best among FBS RBs. Coastal Carolina’s defense allowed just 10.7 RAC last season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 5.4 receptions (27 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1

Virginia WRs averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Virginia WRs have averaged a touchdown every 3.9 receptions (31 Rec/8 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Virginia Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 5.4 receptions (27 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Virginia WRs averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends

Virginia has no interceptions (86 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.9

Virginia has averaged a sack every 25.5 pass attempts (766 Pass Attempts/30 Sacks) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0

Virginia has no interceptions (86 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.5

Virginia has averaged a sack every 25.5 pass attempts (766 Pass Attempts/30 Sacks) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.4

Virginia averaged a sack every 34.3 pass attempts (377 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.3


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