Coastal Carolina vs South Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 4

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • South Alabama is a -14.5 point favorite vs. Coastal Carolina
  • Coastal Carolina vs. South Alabama Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Coastal Carolina (1-2) visit Hancock Whitney Stadium to take on South Alabama (1-2) on Sep. 20 in Mobile, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

South Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Coastal Carolina vs. South Alabama Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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Coastal Carolina vs. South Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Coastal Carolina+14.5 -11050.5 -110500
South Alabama -14.5 -11050.5 -110-700

Coastal Carolina vs South Alabama Prediction:

The winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this game with 79.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Coastal Carolina and South Alabama, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Coastal Carolina vs South Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Coastal Carolina will cover the spread with 61.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Coastal Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.64 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.15 Units / 3% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.12 Units / 1% ROI)

Coastal Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Coastal Carolina is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Coastal Carolina is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Coastal Carolina is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Coastal Carolina is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Alabama iss 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • South Alabama is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -2.38% ROI
  • South Alabama is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • South Alabama is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Coastal Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. South Alabama

Coastal Carolina was winless (0-3) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424

Coastal Carolina was winless (0-3) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

Coastal Carolina was undefeated (5-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Coastal Carolina was undefeated (5-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643

South Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Coastal Carolina

South Alabama was 7-2 (.778) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .668

South Alabama was 2-5 (.286) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

South Alabama was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .481

South Alabama was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Matchup Notes for Coastal Carolina vs. South Alabama

South Alabama’s RBs has gained -3 yards on 3 receptions (just -1.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS RBs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed just 3.9 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina’s offense has thrown for 474 passing yards in 3 games (just 158.0 YPG) this season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 155.3 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 474 passing yards in 3 games (just 158.0 YPG) this season — 23rd-worst among FBS teams. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 155.3 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina has 232 receptions in 16 games (just 14.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 16th-worst among FBS skill players. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 20.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

Coastal Carolina have no touchdowns on 55 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.4

Coastal Carolina have thrown 0 TDs on 103 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 17.7

Coastal Carolina Skill Players have no touchdowns on 55 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

Coastal Carolina’s offense has thrown for 474 passing yards in 3 games (just 158.0 YPG) this season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 155.3 passing yards per game this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina have fumbled 9 times this season– most among FBS Offenses

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama WRs averaged 21.7 yards per reception (607 yards/28 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.5

South Alabama Skill Players have averaged just 16.0 receptions per game (48/3) this season– T-33rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.3

South Alabama RBs have averaged just -1.0 yards per reception (-3 yards/3 catches) this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 7.8

South Alabama RBs averaged 6.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,256 yards / 181 touches) on 1st down last season– T-6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

South Alabama RBs averaged just 3.2 Yards per Carry (113 yards/35 carries) last week– 18th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Coastal Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends

Coastal Carolina did not record a sack (37 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 13.8

Coastal Carolina has no interceptions (57 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 34.5

Coastal Carolina had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5

Coastal Carolina has averaged a sack every 47.5 pass attempts (95 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) this season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 14.1

Coastal Carolina did not record a sack (37 pass attempts) last week– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0

South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

South Alabama did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6

South Alabama has not recorded a sack (64 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.2

South Alabama opponents averaged 8.7 Passing Attempts per TD (52 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

South Alabama has not recorded a sack (64 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.2


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