- Kansas is a -4.5 point favorite vs. Cincinnati
- Cincinnati vs. Kansas Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: TNT | HBOM
Cincinnati (2-1) visit David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium to take on Kansas (3-1) on Sep. 27 in Lawrence, KS. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Kansas is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Cincinnati vs. Kansas Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Cincinnati vs. Kansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Cincinnati | +4.5 -105 | 55.5 -110 | 165 |
| Kansas | -4.5 -115 | 55.5 -110 | -200 |
Cincinnati vs Kansas Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Kansas will win this game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Cincinnati and Kansas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Cincinnati vs Kansas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas will cover the spread with 61.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Cincinnati Best Bets Today
- Cincinnati have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- Cincinnati have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Kansas Best Bets Today
- Kansas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+10.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- Kansas have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.05 Units / 68% ROI)
- Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- Kansas have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Kansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 4% ROI)
Cincinnati Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Cincinnati is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Cincinnati is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Cincinnati is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Cincinnati is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kansas iss 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.44% ROI).
- Kansas is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 8.93% ROI
- Kansas is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Kansas is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Cincinnati: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas
Cincinnati have averaged 33.0 yards per completion (132 yards/4 completions) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.0
Cincinnati Skill Players have averaged 33.0 yards per reception (132 yards/4 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
Cincinnati have not been sacked (72 pass attempts) this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 17.6
Cincinnati Skill Players have averaged 33.0 yards per reception (132 yards/4 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.1
Cincinnati Skill Players have averaged 33.0 yards per reception (132 yards/4 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.7
Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. Cincinnati
Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.7
Kansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.5% of 416 attempts since the 2024 season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.2
Kansas’s RBs has averaged 12.4 yards after the catch this season — T-14th-best among FBS RBs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 7.5 RAC this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas’s RBs has averaged 12.4 yards after the catch this season — T-14th-best among FBS RBs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 7.5 RAC this season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Matchup Notes for Cincinnati vs. Kansas
Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.7
Kansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.5% of 416 attempts since the 2024 season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.2
Kansas’s RBs has averaged 12.4 yards after the catch this season — T-14th-best among FBS RBs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 7.5 RAC this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas’s RBs has averaged 12.4 yards after the catch this season — T-14th-best among FBS RBs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 7.5 RAC this season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Cincinnati have averaged 33.0 yards per completion (132 yards/4 completions) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.0
Cincinnati Skill Players have averaged 33.0 yards per reception (132 yards/4 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
Cincinnati have not been sacked (72 pass attempts) this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 17.6
Cincinnati Skill Players have averaged 33.0 yards per reception (132 yards/4 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.1
Cincinnati Skill Players have averaged 33.0 yards per reception (132 yards/4 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.7
Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati have averaged 33.0 yards per completion (132 yards/4 completions) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.0
Cincinnati Skill Players have averaged 33.0 yards per reception (132 yards/4 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
Cincinnati have not been sacked (72 pass attempts) this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 17.6
Cincinnati Skill Players have averaged 33.0 yards per reception (132 yards/4 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.1
Cincinnati Skill Players have averaged 33.0 yards per reception (132 yards/4 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.7
Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends
Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.7
Kansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.5% of 416 attempts since the 2024 season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.2
Kansas’s RBs has averaged 12.4 yards after the catch this season — T-14th-best among FBS RBs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 7.5 RAC this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas’s RBs has averaged 12.4 yards after the catch this season — T-14th-best among FBS RBs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 7.5 RAC this season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati have averaged 33.0 yards per completion (132 yards/4 completions) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.0
Cincinnati Skill Players have averaged 33.0 yards per reception (132 yards/4 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
Cincinnati have not been sacked (72 pass attempts) this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 17.6
Cincinnati Skill Players have averaged 33.0 yards per reception (132 yards/4 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.1
Cincinnati Skill Players have averaged 33.0 yards per reception (132 yards/4 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.7
Kansas Defensive Stats & Trends
Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.7
Kansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.5% of 416 attempts since the 2024 season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.2
Kansas’s RBs has averaged 12.4 yards after the catch this season — T-14th-best among FBS RBs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 7.5 RAC this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas’s RBs has averaged 12.4 yards after the catch this season — T-14th-best among FBS RBs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 7.5 RAC this season — 3rd-best among P5 defenses.
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