Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 11

  • East Carolina is a -28.5 point favorite vs. Charlotte
  • Charlotte vs. East Carolina Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Charlotte (1-7) visit Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium to take on East Carolina (5-3) on Nov. 8 in Greenville, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST.

East Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -28.5 (-110).

The Charlotte vs. East Carolina Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Charlotte vs. East Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Charlotte+28.5 -11056.5 -1102500
East Carolina -28.5 -11056.5 -110-10000

Charlotte vs East Carolina Prediction:

The winning team model predicts East Carolina will win this game with 75.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Charlotte and East Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Charlotte vs East Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts East Carolina will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Charlotte has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+2.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)

Charlotte Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Charlotte is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -39.77% ROI).

  • Charlotte is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -71.43% ROI
  • Charlotte is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Charlotte is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

East Carolina iss 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 31.82% ROI).

  • East Carolina is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 3.23% ROI
  • East Carolina is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • East Carolina is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Charlotte: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 57 of 243 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 57 of 243 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

East Carolina opponents has averaged 9.0 Passing Attempts per TD (18 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 38 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 25 of 113 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Charlotte

Charlotte’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 260 attempts this season — T-30th-worst among FBS offenses. East Carolina’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Charlotte WRs averaged 18.4 yards per reception (2,114 yards/115 catches) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

Charlotte’s RBs has averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 9.7 RAC this season — best among NonP5 defenses.

Charlotte’s RBs has averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 9.7 RAC this season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.

Charlotte’s RBs has averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 5.8 RAC to RBs this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Charlotte vs. East Carolina

Charlotte’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 260 attempts this season — T-30th-worst among FBS offenses. East Carolina’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Charlotte WRs averaged 18.4 yards per reception (2,114 yards/115 catches) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

Charlotte’s RBs has averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 9.7 RAC this season — best among NonP5 defenses.

Charlotte’s RBs has averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 9.7 RAC this season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.

Charlotte’s RBs has averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 5.8 RAC to RBs this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 57 of 243 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 57 of 243 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

East Carolina opponents has averaged 9.0 Passing Attempts per TD (18 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 38 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 25 of 113 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Charlotte Offensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 57 of 243 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 57 of 243 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

East Carolina opponents has averaged 9.0 Passing Attempts per TD (18 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 38 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 25 of 113 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

Charlotte’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 260 attempts this season — T-30th-worst among FBS offenses. East Carolina’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Charlotte WRs averaged 18.4 yards per reception (2,114 yards/115 catches) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

Charlotte’s RBs has averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 9.7 RAC this season — best among NonP5 defenses.

Charlotte’s RBs has averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 9.7 RAC this season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.

Charlotte’s RBs has averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 5.8 RAC to RBs this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Charlotte Defensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 57 of 243 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 57 of 243 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

East Carolina opponents has averaged 9.0 Passing Attempts per TD (18 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 38 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 25 of 113 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends

Charlotte’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 260 attempts this season — T-30th-worst among FBS offenses. East Carolina’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Charlotte WRs averaged 18.4 yards per reception (2,114 yards/115 catches) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

Charlotte’s RBs has averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 9.7 RAC this season — best among NonP5 defenses.

Charlotte’s RBs has averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 9.7 RAC this season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.

Charlotte’s RBs has averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 5.8 RAC to RBs this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.


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