Central Florida vs Texas Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

Texas Tech head coach Joey McGuire looks on during the first half of an NCAA college football game against BYU Saturday, Oct. 21, 2023, in Provo, Utah. (AP Photo/Rick Bowmer)
(AP Photo/Rick Bowmer)
  • Texas Tech is a -24 point favorite vs. Central Florida
  • UCF vs. Texas Tech Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

UCF (4-5) visit Jones AT&T Stadium to take on Texas Tech (9-1) on Nov. 15 in Lubbock, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Texas Tech is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -24 (-110).

The UCF vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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UCF vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UCF+24 -11048.5 -1151300
Texas Tech -24 -11048.5 -105-3000

UCF vs Texas Tech Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 76.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Central Florida and Texas Tech, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


Bet now on Texas Tech vs Central Florida and all games with BetMGM


  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.63 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.45 Units / 42% ROI)

UCF Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Central Florida is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • UCF is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -10.05% ROI
  • UCF is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • UCF is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas Tech iss 9-1 against the spread this college football season (+7.9 Units / 71.82% ROI).

  • Texas Tech is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 8.1% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

UCF: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech

Texas Tech is 13-2 (.867) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .694

Texas Tech is 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Texas Tech is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2024 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .612

Texas Tech is 11-2 (.846) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– 9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .667

Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. UCF

Texas Tech has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 276 carries (92 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24.6

Texas Tech allowed 4,005 Passing Yards last season– most among Power Conference Teams

Texas Tech has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 276 carries (92 Carries Per TD) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 27.3

Texas Tech has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 276 carries (92 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 27.1

Texas Tech has allowed just 2.2 Yards per Carry (612 yards/276 carries) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.0

Matchup Notes for UCF vs. Texas Tech

Texas Tech has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 276 carries (92 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24.6

Texas Tech allowed 4,005 Passing Yards last season– most among Power Conference Teams

Texas Tech has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 276 carries (92 Carries Per TD) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 27.3

Texas Tech has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 276 carries (92 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 27.1

Texas Tech has allowed just 2.2 Yards per Carry (612 yards/276 carries) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.0

Texas Tech is 13-2 (.867) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .694

Texas Tech is 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Texas Tech is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2024 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .612

Texas Tech is 11-2 (.846) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– 9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .667

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech is 13-2 (.867) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .694

Texas Tech is 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Texas Tech is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2024 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .612

Texas Tech is 11-2 (.846) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– 9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .667

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 276 carries (92 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24.6

Texas Tech allowed 4,005 Passing Yards last season– most among Power Conference Teams

Texas Tech has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 276 carries (92 Carries Per TD) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 27.3

Texas Tech has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 276 carries (92 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 27.1

Texas Tech has allowed just 2.2 Yards per Carry (612 yards/276 carries) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.0

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech is 13-2 (.867) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .694

Texas Tech is 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Texas Tech is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2024 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .612

Texas Tech is 11-2 (.846) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– 9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .667

Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 276 carries (92 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24.6

Texas Tech allowed 4,005 Passing Yards last season– most among Power Conference Teams

Texas Tech has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 276 carries (92 Carries Per TD) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 27.3

Texas Tech has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 276 carries (92 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 27.1

Texas Tech has allowed just 2.2 Yards per Carry (612 yards/276 carries) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.0


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