- Kansas St is a -6 point favorite vs. Central Florida
- UCF vs. Kansas State Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
UCF (3-0) visit Bill Snyder Family Stadium to take on Kansas State (1-3) on Sep. 27 in Manhattan, KS. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Kansas St is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The UCF vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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UCF vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UCF | +6 -110 | 49.5 -110 | 185 |
| Kansas State | -6 -110 | 49.5 -110 | -225 |
UCF vs Kansas State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 65.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Central Florida and Kansas St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UCF vs Kansas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 61.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Kansas St vs Central Florida and all games with BetMGM
UCF Best Bets Today
- UCF has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
Kansas State Best Bets Today
- Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.52 Units / 59% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.55 Units / 17% ROI)
UCF Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Central Florida is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- UCF is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 14.87% ROI
- UCF is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- UCF is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kansas St iss 0-4 against the spread this college football season (-4.4 Units / -100% ROI).
- Kansas State is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -21.14% ROI
- Kansas State is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Kansas State is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
UCF: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State
UCF’s TEs has 16 receptions in 3 games (5.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 15.5 receptions per game this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
UCF’s TEs has 16 receptions in 3 games (5.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 15.5 receptions per game this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF Skill Players caught just 34 of 76 passes(45% Reception Pct) on 3rd down last season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 60%
UCF’s RBs has rushed for 2,543 yards on 403 carries (6.3 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-5th-best among FBS RBs. Kansas State’s defense have allowed just 3.6 YPC since the 2024 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF Skill Players caught just 7 of 22 passes(32% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 58%
Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. UCF
Kansas State TEs have no touchdowns on 19 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 8.1
Kansas State’s WRs has gained 616 yards on 52 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s WRs has gained 616 yards on 52 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among Big 12 Teams
Kansas State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among Power Conference Teams
Matchup Notes for UCF vs. Kansas State
Kansas State TEs have no touchdowns on 19 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 8.1
Kansas State’s WRs has gained 616 yards on 52 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s WRs has gained 616 yards on 52 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among Big 12 Teams
Kansas State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among Power Conference Teams
UCF’s TEs has 16 receptions in 3 games (5.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 15.5 receptions per game this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
UCF’s TEs has 16 receptions in 3 games (5.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 15.5 receptions per game this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF Skill Players caught just 34 of 76 passes(45% Reception Pct) on 3rd down last season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 60%
UCF’s RBs has rushed for 2,543 yards on 403 carries (6.3 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-5th-best among FBS RBs. Kansas State’s defense have allowed just 3.6 YPC since the 2024 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF Skill Players caught just 7 of 22 passes(32% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 58%
UCF Offensive Stats & Trends
UCF’s TEs has 16 receptions in 3 games (5.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 15.5 receptions per game this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
UCF’s TEs has 16 receptions in 3 games (5.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 15.5 receptions per game this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF Skill Players caught just 34 of 76 passes(45% Reception Pct) on 3rd down last season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 60%
UCF’s RBs has rushed for 2,543 yards on 403 carries (6.3 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-5th-best among FBS RBs. Kansas State’s defense have allowed just 3.6 YPC since the 2024 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF Skill Players caught just 7 of 22 passes(32% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 58%
Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State TEs have no touchdowns on 19 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 8.1
Kansas State’s WRs has gained 616 yards on 52 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s WRs has gained 616 yards on 52 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among Big 12 Teams
Kansas State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among Power Conference Teams
UCF Defensive Stats & Trends
UCF’s TEs has 16 receptions in 3 games (5.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 15.5 receptions per game this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
UCF’s TEs has 16 receptions in 3 games (5.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 15.5 receptions per game this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF Skill Players caught just 34 of 76 passes(45% Reception Pct) on 3rd down last season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 60%
UCF’s RBs has rushed for 2,543 yards on 403 carries (6.3 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-5th-best among FBS RBs. Kansas State’s defense have allowed just 3.6 YPC since the 2024 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF Skill Players caught just 7 of 22 passes(32% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 58%
Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State TEs have no touchdowns on 19 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 8.1
Kansas State’s WRs has gained 616 yards on 52 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s WRs has gained 616 yards on 52 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among Big 12 Teams
Kansas State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among Power Conference Teams
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