Central Florida vs BYU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

(AP Photo/Steve Conner)
  • BYU is a -17.5 point favorite vs. Central Florida
  • UCF vs. BYU Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

UCF (5-6) visit LaVell Edwards Stadium to take on BYU (10-1) on Nov. 29 in Provo, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST.

BYU is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-115).

The UCF vs. BYU Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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UCF vs. BYU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UCF+17.5 -10546.5 -105750
BYU -17.5 -11546.5 -115-1200

UCF vs BYU Prediction:

The winning team model predicts BYU will win this game with 77.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Central Florida and BYU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UCF vs BYU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • UCF has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+11.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.30 Units / 3% ROI)
  • BYU have covered the 1H Spread in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • BYU have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 10% ROI)

UCF Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Central Florida is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI).

  • UCF is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -7.69% ROI
  • UCF is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • UCF is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

BYU iss 8-3 against the spread this college football season (+4.7 Units / 39% ROI).

  • BYU is 9-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.85 Units / 23.2% ROI
  • BYU is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • BYU is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

UCF: Keys to the Game vs. BYU

UCF did not record a sack (43 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

UCF allowed 3.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (107 yards / 32 touches) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 5.4

UCF allowed opponents to catch 33 of 46 passes (72% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 57%

UCF allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (33 completions/47 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 56%

UCF has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (11 completions/25 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

BYU: Keys to the Game vs. UCF

BYU is undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .620

BYU is undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .587

BYU is 7-1 (.875) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

BYU was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .632

Matchup Notes for UCF vs. BYU

BYU is undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .620

BYU is undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .587

BYU is 7-1 (.875) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

BYU was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .632

UCF did not record a sack (43 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

UCF allowed 3.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (107 yards / 32 touches) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 5.4

UCF allowed opponents to catch 33 of 46 passes (72% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 57%

UCF allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (33 completions/47 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 56%

UCF has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (11 completions/25 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends

UCF did not record a sack (43 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

UCF allowed 3.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (107 yards / 32 touches) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 5.4

UCF allowed opponents to catch 33 of 46 passes (72% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 57%

UCF allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (33 completions/47 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 56%

UCF has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (11 completions/25 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

BYU Offensive Stats & Trends

BYU is undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .620

BYU is undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .587

BYU is 7-1 (.875) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

BYU was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .632

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends

UCF did not record a sack (43 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

UCF allowed 3.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (107 yards / 32 touches) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 5.4

UCF allowed opponents to catch 33 of 46 passes (72% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 57%

UCF allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (33 completions/47 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 56%

UCF has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (11 completions/25 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

BYU Defensive Stats & Trends

BYU is undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .620

BYU is undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .587

BYU is 7-1 (.875) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

BYU was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .632


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