- Oregon St is a -1.5 point favorite vs. California
- California vs. Oregon State Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The California (0-0) visit Reser Stadium to take on the Oregon State (0-0) on Aug. 30 in Corvallis, OR. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT.
Oregon St is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The California vs. Oregon State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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California vs. Oregon State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| California | +1.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 | +105 |
| Oregon State | -1.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 | -125 |
California vs Oregon State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Oregon State will win this game with 56.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both California and Oregon St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
California vs Oregon State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon State will cover the spread with 61.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
California Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- California has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- California has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- California has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- California has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 away games (+0.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Oregon State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oregon State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.10 Units / 58% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Oregon State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon St was 7-7 against the spread last college football season (-0.65 Units / -4.22% ROI).
- Oregon State is 12-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.5 Units / 6.34% ROI
- Oregon State is 7-7 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Oregon State is 7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
California: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State
California is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .380
California is 6-14 (.300) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .421
California is 4-8 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581
California is 11-10 (.524) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .616
Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. California
Oregon State was 2-6 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500
Oregon State is 13-6 (.684) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 39th-best in FBS; Average: .601
Oregon State was 2-6 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .464
Oregon State was 2-6 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Matchup Notes for California vs. Oregon State
Oregon State’s TEs gained 465 yards on 29 receptions (16.0 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among FBS TEs. California’s defense allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s TEs gained 465 yards on 29 receptions (16.0 YPR) last season — best among P5 TEs. California’s defense allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State had just 0.6 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-4th-worst among FBS skill players. California’s defense allowed just 1.3 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-best among ACC defenses.
California’s TEs had 75 receptions in 13 games (5.8 per game) last season — 4th-best among P5 TEs. Oregon State’s defense allowed just 2.4 receptions per game to TEs last season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs had 75 receptions in 13 games (5.8 per game) last season — 4th-best among P5 TEs. Oregon State’s defense allowed just 15.8 receptions per game last season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs had 75 receptions in 13 games (5.8 per game) last season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Oregon State’s defense allowed just 15.8 receptions per game last season — 4th-best among P5 defenses.
California Offensive Stats & Trends
California’s TEs had 75 receptions in 13 games (5.8 per game) last season — 4th-best among P5 TEs. Oregon State’s defense allowed just 2.4 receptions per game to TEs last season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs had 75 receptions in 13 games (5.8 per game) last season — 4th-best among P5 TEs. Oregon State’s defense allowed just 15.8 receptions per game last season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs had 75 receptions in 13 games (5.8 per game) last season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Oregon State’s defense allowed just 15.8 receptions per game last season — 4th-best among P5 defenses.
California were sacked on 20% of pass attempts (19/96) in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%
California’s TEs had 75 receptions in 13 games (5.8 per game) last season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Oregon State’s defense allowed just 15.8 receptions per game last season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State WRs averaged a touchdown every 30.4 receptions (152 Rec/5 TDs) in the 2024 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
Oregon State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.9 receptions (216 Rec/7 TDs) in the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7
Oregon State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.9 receptions (216 Rec/7 TDs) in the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Oregon State’s TEs gained 465 yards on 29 receptions (16.0 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among FBS TEs. California’s defense allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State TEs averaged 21.9 yards per reception (175 yards/8 catches) on 1st down in the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3
California Defensive Stats & Trends
California has sacked opposing QBs just once on 115 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.9
California did not record a sack (48 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.2
California has sacked opposing QBs just once on 115 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
California has tackled opponents for a loss on just 11 of 157 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
California has tackled opponents for a loss on just 11 of 157 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Oregon State Defensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State averaged a sack every 45.3 pass attempts (317 Pass Attempts/7 Sacks) in the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 14.6
Oregon State averaged a sack every 45.3 pass attempts (317 Pass Attempts/7 Sacks) in the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.1
Oregon State sacked opposing QBs on just 2% of pass attempts (7/317) in the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 7%
Oregon State sacked opposing QBs on just 2% of pass attempts (7/317) in the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Oregon State allowed first downs on 8% of pass attempts in close and late situations in the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 32%
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