- Louisville is a -20.5 point favorite vs. California
- California vs. Louisville Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
California (5-4) visit L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium to take on Louisville (7-1) on Nov. 8 in Louisville, KY. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.
Louisville is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-110).
The California vs. Louisville Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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California vs. Louisville Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| California | +20.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 | 800 |
| Louisville | -20.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 | -1400 |
California vs Louisville Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this game with 77.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both California and Louisville, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
California vs Louisville Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts California will cover the spread with 50.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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California Best Bets Today
- California has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.10 Units / 67% ROI)
- California have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- California has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- California has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- California has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Louisville Best Bets Today
- Louisville has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+2.65 Units / 2% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.20 Units / 3% ROI)
California Against the Spread (ATS) Record
California is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- California is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -20.81% ROI
- California is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- California is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Louisville Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Louisville iss 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).
- Louisville is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units / 6.41% ROI
- Louisville is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Louisville is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
California: Keys to the Game vs. Louisville
California’s TEs has gained 454 yards on 40 receptions (11.4 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed 13.3 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs has 40 receptions in 9 games (4.4 per game) this season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s WRs has gained 1,672 yards on 136 receptions (just 12.3 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC WRs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs has 40 receptions in 9 games (4.4 per game) this season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game this season — best among ACC defenses.
California were sacked on 20% of pass attempts (19/96) in the 4th quarter last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%
Louisville: Keys to the Game vs. California
Louisville’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.2% of 256 attempts this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS offenses. California’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.7% of attempts this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville RBs have averaged 15.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (139 yards / 9 touches) on 3rd and short this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7
Louisville’s QBs has thrown for 1,880 passing yards in 7 games (268.6 YPG) this season — 28th-best among FBS teams. California’s defense has allowed just 198.8 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville’s TEs has gained 265 yards on 28 receptions (just 9.5 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. California’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisville’s WRs has gained 1,431 yards on 117 receptions (just 12.2 YPR) this season — T-2nd-worst among ACC WRs. California’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
Matchup Notes for California vs. Louisville
Louisville’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.2% of 256 attempts this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS offenses. California’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.7% of attempts this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville RBs have averaged 15.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (139 yards / 9 touches) on 3rd and short this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7
Louisville’s QBs has thrown for 1,880 passing yards in 7 games (268.6 YPG) this season — 28th-best among FBS teams. California’s defense has allowed just 198.8 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville’s TEs has gained 265 yards on 28 receptions (just 9.5 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. California’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisville’s WRs has gained 1,431 yards on 117 receptions (just 12.2 YPR) this season — T-2nd-worst among ACC WRs. California’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
California’s TEs has gained 454 yards on 40 receptions (11.4 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed 13.3 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs has 40 receptions in 9 games (4.4 per game) this season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s WRs has gained 1,672 yards on 136 receptions (just 12.3 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC WRs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs has 40 receptions in 9 games (4.4 per game) this season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game this season — best among ACC defenses.
California were sacked on 20% of pass attempts (19/96) in the 4th quarter last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%
California Offensive Stats & Trends
California’s TEs has gained 454 yards on 40 receptions (11.4 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed 13.3 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs has 40 receptions in 9 games (4.4 per game) this season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s WRs has gained 1,672 yards on 136 receptions (just 12.3 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC WRs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs has 40 receptions in 9 games (4.4 per game) this season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game this season — best among ACC defenses.
California were sacked on 20% of pass attempts (19/96) in the 4th quarter last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%
Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends
Louisville’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.2% of 256 attempts this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS offenses. California’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.7% of attempts this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville RBs have averaged 15.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (139 yards / 9 touches) on 3rd and short this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7
Louisville’s QBs has thrown for 1,880 passing yards in 7 games (268.6 YPG) this season — 28th-best among FBS teams. California’s defense has allowed just 198.8 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville’s TEs has gained 265 yards on 28 receptions (just 9.5 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. California’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisville’s WRs has gained 1,431 yards on 117 receptions (just 12.2 YPR) this season — T-2nd-worst among ACC WRs. California’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
California Defensive Stats & Trends
California’s TEs has gained 454 yards on 40 receptions (11.4 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed 13.3 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs has 40 receptions in 9 games (4.4 per game) this season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s WRs has gained 1,672 yards on 136 receptions (just 12.3 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC WRs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs has 40 receptions in 9 games (4.4 per game) this season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game this season — best among ACC defenses.
California were sacked on 20% of pass attempts (19/96) in the 4th quarter last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%
Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends
Louisville’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.2% of 256 attempts this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS offenses. California’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.7% of attempts this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville RBs have averaged 15.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (139 yards / 9 touches) on 3rd and short this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7
Louisville’s QBs has thrown for 1,880 passing yards in 7 games (268.6 YPG) this season — 28th-best among FBS teams. California’s defense has allowed just 198.8 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.
Louisville’s TEs has gained 265 yards on 28 receptions (just 9.5 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. California’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisville’s WRs has gained 1,431 yards on 117 receptions (just 12.2 YPR) this season — T-2nd-worst among ACC WRs. California’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
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