California vs Hawaii Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Sheraton Hawaiʻi Bowl

BetMGM Betting Dec 19, 2025, 5:50 PM

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(AP Photo/Eugene Tanner)

Hawaii is a -1.5 point favorite vs. California
California vs. Hawaii Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN

California (7-5) visit Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex to take on Hawaii (8-4) on Dec. 24 in Honolulu, HI. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.

Hawaii is a betting favorite in the Sheraton Hawaiʻi Bowl, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The California vs. Hawaii Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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California vs. Hawaii Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
California	+1.5 -115	52.5 -110	-105
Hawaii	-1.5 -105	52.5 -110	-115

California vs Hawaii Prediction:

The winning team model predicts California will win this game with 55.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both California and Hawaii, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

California vs Hawaii Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Hawai’i will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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California Best Bets Today

California has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+9.05 Units / 82% ROI)
California has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+7.65 Units / 91% ROI)
California has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)
California has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+2.15 Units / 3% ROI)
California has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)

Hawaii Best Bets Today

Hawaii has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.60 Units / 8% ROI)
Hawaii has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.10 Units / 71% ROI)
Hawaii has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+5.30 Units / 56% ROI)
Hawaii have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
Hawaii have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 60% ROI)

California Against the Spread (ATS) Record

California is 5-7 against the spread this college football season (-2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI).

California is 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 32.45% ROI
California is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
California is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Hawaii Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Hawaii iss 8-4 against the spread this college football season (+3.6 Units / 27.38% ROI).

Hawaii is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 34.64% ROI
Hawaii is 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
Hawaii is 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI

California: Keys to the Game vs. Hawaii

California were sacked on 20% of pass attempts (19/96) in the 4th quarter last season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

California were sacked on 20% of pass attempts (19/96) in the 4th quarter last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%

California Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 20.1 receptions (301 Rec/15 TDs) last season– 6th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7

California’s TEs has gained 491 yards on 44 receptions (11.2 YPR) this season — 5th-best among ACC TEs. Hawai’i’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

California Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 20.1 receptions (301 Rec/15 TDs) last season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7

Hawaii: Keys to the Game vs. California

Hawai’i’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.4% of 491 attempts this season — T-31st-worst among FBS offenses. California’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 9.2% of attempts this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.

Hawai’i TEs caught just 1 of 3 passes(33% Reception Pct) last season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 66%

Hawai’i WRs have averaged 22.1 receptions per game (221/10) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Hawai’i WRs have been targeted 36.1 times per game (361/10) this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4

Hawai’i TEs had no touchdowns on 1 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.6

Matchup Notes for California vs. Hawaii