- Boston College is a -6.5 point favorite vs. California
- California vs. Boston College Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: ACCN
California (3-1) visit Alumni Stadium to take on Boston College (1-2) on Sep. 27 in Chestnut Hill, MA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Boston College is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The California vs. Boston College Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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California vs. Boston College Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| California | +6.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 | 185 |
| Boston College | -6.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 | -225 |
California vs Boston College Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Boston College will win this game with 67.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both California and Boston College, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
California vs Boston College Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boston College will cover the spread with 65.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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California Best Bets Today
- California has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- California has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- California has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- California has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.10 Units / 12% ROI)
Boston College Best Bets Today
- Boston College has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.76 Units / 54% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- Boston College have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- Boston College have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
California Against the Spread (ATS) Record
California is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- California is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -38.31% ROI
- California is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- California is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Boston College Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Boston College iss 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI).
- Boston College is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -10.68% ROI
- Boston College is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Boston College is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
California: Keys to the Game vs. Boston College
California has 391 receptions in 17 games (23.0 per game) since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among ACC skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
California’s WRs has 246 receptions in 17 games (14.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
California’s QBs has thrown for 4,385 passing yards in 17 games (257.9 YPG) since the 2024 season — 35th-best among FBS teams. Boston College’s defense has allowed 235.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
California have been sacked on 18% of pass attempts (21/114) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%
California Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 20.1 receptions (301 Rec/15 TDs) last season– 6th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Boston College: Keys to the Game vs. California
Boston College Skill Players have averaged 31.7 receptions per game (95/3) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.3
Boston College’s TEs has gained 214 yards on 24 receptions (just 8.9 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. California’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among ACC defenses.
Boston College Skill Players have averaged 31.7 receptions per game (95/3) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 20.3
Boston College TEs have averaged 8.0 receptions per game (24/3) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3
Boston College RBs have 5 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Matchup Notes for California vs. Boston College
Boston College Skill Players have averaged 31.7 receptions per game (95/3) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.3
Boston College’s TEs has gained 214 yards on 24 receptions (just 8.9 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. California’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among ACC defenses.
Boston College Skill Players have averaged 31.7 receptions per game (95/3) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 20.3
Boston College TEs have averaged 8.0 receptions per game (24/3) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3
Boston College RBs have 5 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
California has 391 receptions in 17 games (23.0 per game) since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among ACC skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
California’s WRs has 246 receptions in 17 games (14.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
California’s QBs has thrown for 4,385 passing yards in 17 games (257.9 YPG) since the 2024 season — 35th-best among FBS teams. Boston College’s defense has allowed 235.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
California have been sacked on 18% of pass attempts (21/114) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%
California Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 20.1 receptions (301 Rec/15 TDs) last season– 6th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
California Offensive Stats & Trends
California has 391 receptions in 17 games (23.0 per game) since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among ACC skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
California’s WRs has 246 receptions in 17 games (14.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
California’s QBs has thrown for 4,385 passing yards in 17 games (257.9 YPG) since the 2024 season — 35th-best among FBS teams. Boston College’s defense has allowed 235.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
California have been sacked on 18% of pass attempts (21/114) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%
California Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 20.1 receptions (301 Rec/15 TDs) last season– 6th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Boston College Offensive Stats & Trends
Boston College Skill Players have averaged 31.7 receptions per game (95/3) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.3
Boston College’s TEs has gained 214 yards on 24 receptions (just 8.9 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. California’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among ACC defenses.
Boston College Skill Players have averaged 31.7 receptions per game (95/3) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 20.3
Boston College TEs have averaged 8.0 receptions per game (24/3) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3
Boston College RBs have 5 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
California Defensive Stats & Trends
California has 391 receptions in 17 games (23.0 per game) since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among ACC skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
California’s WRs has 246 receptions in 17 games (14.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
California’s QBs has thrown for 4,385 passing yards in 17 games (257.9 YPG) since the 2024 season — 35th-best among FBS teams. Boston College’s defense has allowed 235.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
California have been sacked on 18% of pass attempts (21/114) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%
California Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 20.1 receptions (301 Rec/15 TDs) last season– 6th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Boston College Defensive Stats & Trends
Boston College Skill Players have averaged 31.7 receptions per game (95/3) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.3
Boston College’s TEs has gained 214 yards on 24 receptions (just 8.9 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. California’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among ACC defenses.
Boston College Skill Players have averaged 31.7 receptions per game (95/3) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 20.3
Boston College TEs have averaged 8.0 receptions per game (24/3) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3
Boston College RBs have 5 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
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