C Michigan vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 3

Michigan athletic director Warde Manuel, left, talks with head coach Sherrone Moore, right, before an NCAA college football spring game in Ann Arbor, Mich., Saturday, April 19, 2025.
(AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
  • Michigan is a -27.5 point favorite vs. C Michigan
  • Central Michigan vs. Michigan Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
  • TV Channel: BTN

Central Michigan (1-1) visit Michigan Stadium to take on Michigan (1-1) on Sep. 13 in Ann Arbor, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -27.5 (-115).

The Central Michigan vs. Michigan Over/Under is 42.5 total points.

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Central Michigan vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Central Michigan+27.5 -10542.5 -1101600
Michigan -27.5 -11542.5 -110-5000

Central Michigan vs Michigan Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both C Michigan and Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Central Michigan vs Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 64.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Central Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Central Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+0.80 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (+0.55 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+13.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+9.65 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.15 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)

Central Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

C Michigan is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Central Michigan is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 180% ROI
  • Central Michigan is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Central Michigan is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan iss 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Michigan is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Michigan is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Michigan is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Central Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Central Michigan was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

Central Michigan is 2-7 (.222) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .440

Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Central Michigan

Michigan was 1-5 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

Michigan is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .536

Michigan was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Michigan was 6-2 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .624

Matchup Notes for Central Michigan vs. Michigan

Michigan’s WRs has gained 278 yards on 16 receptions (17.4 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Michigan’s WRs has gained 278 yards on 16 receptions (17.4 YPR) this season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed 16.5 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Michigan’s WRs has gained 278 yards on 16 receptions (17.4 YPR) this season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s offense has thrown for 292 passing yards in 2 games (just 146.0 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS offenses. Michigan’s defense has allowed 243.5 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Central Michigan’s QBs has thrown for 292 passing yards in 2 games (just 146.0 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS teams. Michigan’s defense has allowed 243.5 passing yards per game this season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s WRs has 122 receptions in 14 games (just 8.7 per game) since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed 21.0 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan’s offense has thrown for 292 passing yards in 2 games (just 146.0 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS offenses. Michigan’s defense has allowed 243.5 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Central Michigan’s QBs has thrown for 292 passing yards in 2 games (just 146.0 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS teams. Michigan’s defense has allowed 243.5 passing yards per game this season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s WRs has 122 receptions in 14 games (just 8.7 per game) since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed 21.0 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan have just 146.0 receiving yards per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed 243.5 receiving yards per game this season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan have just 146.0 receiving yards per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed 243.5 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Michigan Skill Players averaged just 8.8 yards per reception (1,678 yards/190 catches) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1

Michigan WRs averaged just 8.7 yards per reception (401 yards/46 catches) with 7-10 yards to go last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.6

Michigan WRs averaged just 9.1 yards per reception (752 yards/83 catches) last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.1

Michigan WRs averaged just 7.8 yards per reception (372 yards/48 catches) in the 1st half last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.9

Michigan WRs averaged just 7.3 yards per reception (169 yards/23 catches) on 1st down last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.8

Central Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan intercepted 2 of 327 attempts (163.5 pass attempts per int.) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.9

Central Michigan intercepted 2 of 327 attempts (163.5 pass attempts per int.) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 36.1

Central Michigan allowed 8.5 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Central Michigan allowed 8.5 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Central Michigan did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 20 rushing attempts on 3rd and short last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends

Michigan has averaged 3.00 interceptions per game (3/1) this season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.74

Michigan has averaged 3.00 interceptions per game (3/1) this season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 0.71

Michigan opponents averaged 51.6 Passing Attempts per TD (413 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 20.1

Michigan allowed 8 touchdowns on 229 completions (28.6 Completions Per TD) in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.8

Michigan allowed 9 rushing TDs on 66 carries (7.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 4.6


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