BYU vs Texas Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Big 12 Championship

Texas Tech head coach Joey McGuire looks on during the first half of an NCAA college football game against BYU Saturday, Oct. 21, 2023, in Provo, Utah. (AP Photo/Rick Bowmer)
(AP Photo/Rick Bowmer)
  • Texas Tech is a -12.5 point favorite vs. BYU
  • BYU vs. Texas Tech Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • TV Channel: ABC

BYU (11-1) visit AT&T Stadium to take on Texas Tech (11-1) on Dec. 6 in Arlington, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Texas Tech is a betting favorite in Week 15, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The BYU vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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BYU vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
BYU+12.5 -10549.5 -110400
Texas Tech -12.5 -11549.5 -110-525

BYU vs Texas Tech Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 79.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both BYU and Texas Tech, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

BYU vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Tech will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • BYU has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+11.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • BYU have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.10 Units / 2% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.45 Units / 42% ROI)

BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

BYU is 9-3 against the spread this college football season (+5.7 Units / 43.35% ROI).

  • BYU is 10-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.85 Units / 20.46% ROI
  • BYU is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • BYU is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas Tech iss 11-1 against the spread this college football season (+9.9 Units / 75% ROI).

  • Texas Tech is 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 6.39% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI

BYU: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech

BYU is undefeated (7-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .661

BYU is undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .620

BYU is undefeated (7-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .617

BYU was 8-2 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. BYU

Texas Tech was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Texas Tech is 10-1 (.909) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– 6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Texas Tech is 6-1 (.857) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

Texas Tech is undefeated (9-0) when rushing more than 30 times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .669

Matchup Notes for BYU vs. Texas Tech

Texas Tech was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Texas Tech is 10-1 (.909) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– 6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Texas Tech is 6-1 (.857) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

Texas Tech is undefeated (9-0) when rushing more than 30 times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .669

BYU is undefeated (7-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .661

BYU is undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .620

BYU is undefeated (7-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .617

BYU was 8-2 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

BYU Offensive Stats & Trends

BYU is undefeated (7-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .661

BYU is undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .620

BYU is undefeated (7-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .617

BYU was 8-2 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Texas Tech is 10-1 (.909) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– 6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Texas Tech is 6-1 (.857) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

Texas Tech is undefeated (9-0) when rushing more than 30 times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .669

BYU Defensive Stats & Trends

BYU is undefeated (7-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .661

BYU is undefeated (9-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .620

BYU is undefeated (7-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .617

BYU was 8-2 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Texas Tech is 10-1 (.909) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– 6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Texas Tech is 6-1 (.857) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

Texas Tech is undefeated (9-0) when rushing more than 30 times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .669


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