- BYU is a -6.5 point favorite vs. East Carolina
- BYU vs. East Carolina Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
BYU (2-0) visit Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium to take on East Carolina (2-1) on Sep. 20 in Greenville, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
BYU is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The BYU vs. East Carolina Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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BYU vs. East Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| BYU | -6.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | -235 |
| East Carolina | +6.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | 195 |
BYU vs East Carolina Prediction:
The winning team model predicts BYU will win this game with 66.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both BYU and East Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
BYU vs East Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts BYU will cover the spread with 61.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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BYU Best Bets Today
- BYU has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- BYU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- BYU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.00 Units / 2% ROI)
- BYU has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- BYU have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
East Carolina Best Bets Today
- East Carolina have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- East Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.50 Units / 5% ROI)
BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
BYU is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- BYU is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 7.14% ROI
- BYU is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- BYU is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
East Carolina iss 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- East Carolina is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 2.06% ROI
- East Carolina is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- East Carolina is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
BYU: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina
BYU was 8-2 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .429
BYU was 7-2 (.778) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481
BYU was 7-2 (.778) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: .442
BYU was 11-2 (.846) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618
East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. BYU
East Carolina was 8-5 (.615) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .442
East Carolina is 8-6 (.571) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .455
East Carolina was 7-1 (.875) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591
East Carolina was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Matchup Notes for BYU vs. East Carolina
East Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 1,022 passing yards in 3 games (340.7 YPG) this season — 11th-best among FBS teams. BYU’s defense has allowed just 99.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s WRs has 265 receptions in 16 games (16.6 per game) since the 2024 season — T-14th-best among FBS WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s WRs has 265 receptions in 16 games (16.6 per game) since the 2024 season — T-14th-best among FBS WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 16.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
BYU’s WRs has gained 181 yards on 17 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) this season — 20th-worst among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
BYU’s TEs has gained 88 yards on 6 receptions (14.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
BYU’s TEs has 6 receptions in 2 games (just 3.0 per game) this season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 TEs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 21.7 receptions per game this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
BYU Offensive Stats & Trends
BYU’s WRs has gained 181 yards on 17 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) this season — 20th-worst among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
BYU RBs have averaged 11.5 Yards per Carry (252 yards/22 carries) in the 1st half this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
BYU’s TEs has gained 88 yards on 6 receptions (14.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
BYU’s TEs has 6 receptions in 2 games (just 3.0 per game) this season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 TEs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 21.7 receptions per game this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
BYU Skill Players had no touchdowns on 17 receptions in close and late situations last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.5
East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 1,022 passing yards in 3 games (340.7 YPG) this season — 11th-best among FBS teams. BYU’s defense has allowed just 99.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s WRs has 265 receptions in 16 games (16.6 per game) since the 2024 season — T-14th-best among FBS WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s WRs has 265 receptions in 16 games (16.6 per game) since the 2024 season — T-14th-best among FBS WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 16.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
East Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 1,022 passing yards in 3 games (340.7 YPG) this season — 11th-best among FBS teams. BYU’s defense has allowed just 99.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among P5 defenses.
East Carolina’s WRs has 265 receptions in 16 games (16.6 per game) since the 2024 season — T-14th-best among FBS WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 16.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
BYU Defensive Stats & Trends
BYU has tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 48 rushing attempts (35% TFL%) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%.
BYU has allowed no passing TDs (52 pass attempts) this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 24.6
BYU has allowed 2.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (212 yards / 75 touches) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 5.6
BYU has tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 48 rushing attempts (35% TFL%) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 17%.
BYU has tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 48 rushing attempts (35% TFL%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 16%.
East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina has allowed one passing TD (108 pass attempts) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 20.8
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 28 of 89 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 28 of 89 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
East Carolina allowed no passing TDs (39 pass attempts) last week– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.9
East Carolina has allowed one passing TD (108 pass attempts) this season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: 24.6
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