BYU vs Cincinnati Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

FILE - Cincinnati head coach Scott Satterfield, center, leads the team onto the field before an NCAA college football game against Central Florida, Oct. 12, 2024, in Orlando, Fla. (AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack)
  • BYU is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Cincinnati
  • BYU vs. Cincinnati Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

BYU (9-1) visit Nippert Stadium to take on Cincinnati (7-3) on Nov. 22 in Cincinnati, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.

BYU is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The BYU vs. Cincinnati Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

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BYU vs. Cincinnati Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
BYU-2.5 -11054.5 -110-140
Cincinnati +2.5 -11054.5 -110115

BYU vs Cincinnati Prediction:

The winning team model predicts BYU will win this game with 53.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both BYU and Cincinnati, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

BYU vs Cincinnati Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts BYU will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • BYU has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+9.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • BYU have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • BYU have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Cincinnati have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.70 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Cincinnati have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.73 Units / 30% ROI)

BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

BYU is 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.7 Units / 33.79% ROI).

  • BYU is 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.85 Units / 21.39% ROI
  • BYU is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • BYU is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Cincinnati Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Cincinnati iss 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • Cincinnati is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 5.54% ROI
  • Cincinnati is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Cincinnati is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

BYU: Keys to the Game vs. Cincinnati

BYU has gained 2,215 yards on 176 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU has gained 2,215 yards on 176 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU have thrown 2 TDs and no interceptions in the 4th quarter this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.6

BYU’s WRs has gained 1,571 yards on 112 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among Big 12 defenses.

BYU’s TEs has gained 376 yards on 29 receptions (13.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Cincinnati: Keys to the Game vs. BYU

Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

Cincinnati was 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Cincinnati is 6-3 (.667) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .449

Matchup Notes for BYU vs. Cincinnati

Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

Cincinnati was 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Cincinnati is 6-3 (.667) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .449

BYU has gained 2,215 yards on 176 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU has gained 2,215 yards on 176 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU have thrown 2 TDs and no interceptions in the 4th quarter this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.6

BYU’s WRs has gained 1,571 yards on 112 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among Big 12 defenses.

BYU’s TEs has gained 376 yards on 29 receptions (13.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU Offensive Stats & Trends

BYU has gained 2,215 yards on 176 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU has gained 2,215 yards on 176 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU have thrown 2 TDs and no interceptions in the 4th quarter this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.6

BYU’s WRs has gained 1,571 yards on 112 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among Big 12 defenses.

BYU’s TEs has gained 376 yards on 29 receptions (13.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends

Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

Cincinnati was 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Cincinnati is 6-3 (.667) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .449

BYU Defensive Stats & Trends

BYU has gained 2,215 yards on 176 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU has gained 2,215 yards on 176 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU have thrown 2 TDs and no interceptions in the 4th quarter this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.6

BYU’s WRs has gained 1,571 yards on 112 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among Big 12 defenses.

BYU’s TEs has gained 376 yards on 29 receptions (13.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends

Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

Cincinnati was 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Cincinnati is 6-3 (.667) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .449


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