- Buffalo U is a -21.5 point favorite vs. Kent St
- Buffalo vs. Kent State Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSN
Buffalo (1-1) visit Dix Stadium to take on Kent State (1-1) on Sep. 13 in Kent, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Buffalo U is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-110).
The Buffalo vs. Kent State Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Buffalo vs. Kent State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Buffalo | -21.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 | -2500 |
| Kent State | +21.5 -110 | 48.5 -110 | 1100 |
Buffalo vs Kent State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Buffalo will win this game with 85.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Buffalo U and Kent St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Buffalo vs Kent State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Buffalo will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Buffalo Best Bets Today
- Buffalo has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Buffalo have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Buffalo have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.55 Units / 25% ROI)
Kent State Best Bets Today
- Kent State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Buffalo Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Buffalo U is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Buffalo is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Buffalo is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Buffalo is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kent St iss 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Kent State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 48.78% ROI
- Kent State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Kent State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Buffalo: Keys to the Game vs. Kent State
Buffalo was undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .612
Buffalo was undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .632
Buffalo was 6-4 (.600) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .442
Buffalo was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602
Kent State: Keys to the Game vs. Buffalo
Kent State was winless (0-12) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442
Kent State was winless (0-9) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Kent State was winless (0-6) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Kent State was winless (0-12) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .442
Matchup Notes for Buffalo vs. Kent State
Kent State’s WRs has 128 receptions in 14 games (just 9.1 per game) since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kent State has 162 receptions in 14 games (just 11.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among FBS skill players. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kent State’s TEs has 10 receptions in 12 games (just 0.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS TEs. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s QBs has thrown for 240 passing yards in 2 games (just 120.0 YPG) this season — 12th-worst among FBS teams. Kent State’s defense has allowed 273.5 passing yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s WRs have just 100.5 receiving yards per game this season — 26th-worst among FBS WRs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 273.5 receiving yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Buffalo have just 120.0 receiving yards per game this season — 12th-worst among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense has allowed 273.5 receiving yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends
Buffalo’s QBs has thrown for 240 passing yards in 2 games (just 120.0 YPG) this season — 12th-worst among FBS teams. Kent State’s defense has allowed 273.5 passing yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s WRs have just 100.5 receiving yards per game this season — 26th-worst among FBS WRs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 273.5 receiving yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Buffalo have just 120.0 receiving yards per game this season — 12th-worst among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense has allowed 273.5 receiving yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s offense has thrown for 240 passing yards in 2 games (just 120.0 YPG) this season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. Kent State’s defense has allowed 273.5 passing yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Buffalo TEs have been targeted 0.0 times per game (0/1) this season– T-lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Kent State Offensive Stats & Trends
Kent State RBs averaged just 2.4 Yards per Carry (140 yards/58 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Kent State Skill Players averaged 24.1 yards per reception (313 yards/13 catches) with 4-6 yards to go last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3
Kent State RBs rushed for 2 TDs on 261 carries (130.5 Carries Per TD) last season– 3rd-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.4
Kent State RBs averaged 2.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (153 yards / 60 touches) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
Kent State’s WRs has 128 receptions in 14 games (just 9.1 per game) since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 44 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) this season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Buffalo has allowed 15.3 yards per completion (290 yards/19 completions) this season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 10.6
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on 95 of 531 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) since the 2024 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Buffalo intercepted 2 of 42 attempts (21.0 pass attempts per int.) in the Red Zone last season– 28th-best in FBS; Average: 36.5
Buffalo allowed 4.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (324 yards / 71 touches) in the Red Zone last season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: 3.7
Kent State Defensive Stats & Trends
Kent State has allowed 8.0 touchdowns per interception (32 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7
Kent State has intercepted 4 of 413 attempts (103.2 pass attempts per int.) since the 2024 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.7
Kent State allowed 6.8 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Kent State allowed 264.9 rushing yards per game (3,179/12) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 151.7
Kent State has intercepted 4 of 413 attempts (103.2 pass attempts per int.) since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 38.7
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