Buffalo U vs C Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

• C Michigan is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Buffalo U
• Buffalo vs. Central Michigan Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
• TV Channel: CBSN

Buffalo (5-4) visit Kramer/Deromedi Field at Kelly/Shorts Stadium to take on Central Michigan (5-4) on Nov. 12 in Mount Pleasant, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.

C Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Buffalo vs. Central Michigan Over/Under is 44.5 total points.

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Buffalo vs. Central Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Buffalo vs Central Michigan Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Central Michigan will win this game with 53.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Buffalo U and C Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Buffalo vs Central Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Central Michigan will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Buffalo Best Bets Today

• Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 46% ROI)
• Buffalo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
• Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 60% ROI)
• Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• Buffalo has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.15 Units / 12% ROI)

Central Michigan Best Bets Today

• Central Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.65 Units / 47% ROI)
• Central Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.35 Units / 6% ROI)
• Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• Central Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.73 Units / 27% ROI)
• Central Michigan have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)

Buffalo Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Buffalo U is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -25.25% ROI).

• Buffalo is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -9.2% ROI
• Buffalo is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
• Buffalo is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Central Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

C Michigan iss 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).

• Central Michigan is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 13.81% ROI
• Central Michigan is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
• Central Michigan is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Buffalo: Keys to the Game vs. Central Michigan

Buffalo’s offense has thrown for 4,199 passing yards in 21 games (just 200.0 YPG) since the 2024 season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 200.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo’s QBs has thrown for 4,199 passing yards in 21 games (just 200.0 YPG) since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS teams. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 200.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo Skill Players averaged just 14.8 receptions per game (193/13) last season– T-20th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

Buffalo Skill Players have averaged just 4.9 yards per reception (98 yards/20 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

Buffalo WRs have averaged 14.9 receptions per game (119/8) this season– 33rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Central Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Buffalo

Central Michigan is 5-1 (.833) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .591

Central Michigan is 3-11 (.214) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .391

Central Michigan is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– 10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .268

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Matchup Notes for Buffalo vs. Central Michigan

Central Michigan is 5-1 (.833) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .591

Central Michigan is 3-11 (.214) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .391

Central Michigan is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– 10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .268

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Buffalo’s offense has thrown for 4,199 passing yards in 21 games (just 200.0 YPG) since the 2024 season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 200.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo’s QBs has thrown for 4,199 passing yards in 21 games (just 200.0 YPG) since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS teams. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 200.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo Skill Players averaged just 14.8 receptions per game (193/13) last season– T-20th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

Buffalo Skill Players have averaged just 4.9 yards per reception (98 yards/20 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

Buffalo WRs have averaged 14.9 receptions per game (119/8) this season– 33rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo’s offense has thrown for 4,199 passing yards in 21 games (just 200.0 YPG) since the 2024 season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 200.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo’s QBs has thrown for 4,199 passing yards in 21 games (just 200.0 YPG) since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS teams. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 200.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo Skill Players averaged just 14.8 receptions per game (193/13) last season– T-20th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

Buffalo Skill Players have averaged just 4.9 yards per reception (98 yards/20 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

Buffalo WRs have averaged 14.9 receptions per game (119/8) this season– 33rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Central Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan is 5-1 (.833) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .591

Central Michigan is 3-11 (.214) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .391

Central Michigan is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– 10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .268

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo’s offense has thrown for 4,199 passing yards in 21 games (just 200.0 YPG) since the 2024 season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 200.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo’s QBs has thrown for 4,199 passing yards in 21 games (just 200.0 YPG) since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS teams. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 200.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo Skill Players averaged just 14.8 receptions per game (193/13) last season– T-20th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

Buffalo Skill Players have averaged just 4.9 yards per reception (98 yards/20 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

Buffalo WRs have averaged 14.9 receptions per game (119/8) this season– 33rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Central Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan is 5-1 (.833) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .591

Central Michigan is 3-11 (.214) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .391

Central Michigan is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– 10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .268

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

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