- Cincinnati is a -21.5 point favorite vs. Bowling Green
- Bowling Green vs. Cincinnati Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
Bowling Green (1-0) visit Nippert Stadium to take on Cincinnati (0-1) on Sep. 6 in Cincinnati, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Cincinnati is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-110).
The Bowling Green vs. Cincinnati Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Bowling Green vs. Cincinnati Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bowling Green | +21.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | +900 |
| Cincinnati | -21.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | -1600 |
Bowling Green vs Cincinnati Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Cincinnati will win this game with 83.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Bowling Green and Cincinnati, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Bowling Green vs Cincinnati Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Cincinnati will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Bowling Green Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Bowling Green has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 away games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
Cincinnati Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Cincinnati have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Cincinnati have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.00 Units / 7% ROI)
Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bowling Green is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Bowling Green is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 7.69% ROI
- Bowling Green is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Bowling Green is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Cincinnati Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Cincinnati iss 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Cincinnati is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Cincinnati is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Cincinnati is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Bowling Green: Keys to the Game vs. Cincinnati
Bowling Green was 7-2 (.778) when rushing for more than 100 yards in the 2024 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .573
Bowling Green was 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 3 sacks in the 2023 season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .581
Bowling Green was 6-2 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .586
Cincinnati: Keys to the Game vs. Bowling Green
Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble in the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .489
Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .459
Cincinnati was 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2024 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .417
Cincinnati was 1-6 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .502
Matchup Notes for Bowling Green vs. Cincinnati
Cincinnati’s WRs has gained 51 yards on 7 receptions (just 7.3 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among Power 5 WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 7.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati’s WRs has gained 51 yards on 7 receptions (just 7.3 YPR) this season — worst among Big 12 WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 7.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati has gained 69 yards on 13 receptions (just 5.3 YPR) this season — T-worst among FBS skill players. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 7.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green has gained 109 yards on 12 receptions (just 9.1 YPR) this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 7.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Bowling Green has gained 109 yards on 12 receptions (just 9.1 YPR) this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 7.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 14th-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green has averaged just 9.1 yards after the catch this season — 35th-worst among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 7.3 RAC this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends
Bowling Green has gained 109 yards on 12 receptions (just 9.1 YPR) this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 7.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Bowling Green has gained 109 yards on 12 receptions (just 9.1 YPR) this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 7.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 14th-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green TEs averaged 9.8 receptions per game (128/13) in the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3
Bowling Green TEs were targeted 176 times in the 2024 season– most among FBS Teams
Bowling Green TEs were targeted 13.5 times per game (176/13) in the 2024 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati Skill Players have averaged just 5.3 yards per reception (69 yards/13 catches) this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.0
Cincinnati Skill Players have no touchdowns on 13 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 8.6
Cincinnati Skill Players have averaged just 4.9 yards per reception (49 yards/10 catches) with 7-10 yards to go this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.4
Cincinnati Skill Players have averaged just 5.3 yards per reception (69 yards/13 catches) this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.0
Cincinnati RBs averaged 8.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (159 yards / 19 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2024 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends
Bowling Green allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (15 completions/40 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Bowling Green allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (15 completions/40 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: 54%
Bowling Green has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 30 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Bowling Green allowed opponents to catch just 15 of 39 passes (39% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Bowling Green has not allowed an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 30 carries this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%
Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati has allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (33 completions/42 attempts) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 58%
Cincinnati has no interceptions and 2 TD passes allowed this season– T-4th-worst in the Big 12; Average: 0.9
Opponents have averaged 33.0 completions per game (33 / 1) against Cincinnati this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 16.6
Cincinnati has allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (33 completions/42 attempts) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 58%
Cincinnati has no interceptions (42 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 33.8
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