Boston College vs Pitt Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

• Pitt is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Boston College
• Boston College vs. Pittsburgh Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
• TV Channel: ACCN

Boston College (1-3) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on Pittsburgh (2-2) on Oct. 4 in Pittsburgh, PA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Pitt is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Boston College vs. Pittsburgh Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Boston College vs. Pittsburgh Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Boston College vs Pittsburgh Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Pittsburgh will win this game with 72.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Boston College and Pitt, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Boston College vs Pittsburgh Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Pittsburgh will cover the spread with 65.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Boston College Best Bets Today

• Boston College has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• Boston College has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• Boston College has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 34% ROI)
• Boston College has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.61 Units / 37% ROI)
• Boston College have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.05 Units / 15% ROI)

Pittsburgh Best Bets Today

• Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.15 Units / 4% ROI)
• Pittsburgh have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 60% ROI)
• Pittsburgh has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 10% ROI)
• Pittsburgh have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.75 Units / 59% ROI)
• Pittsburgh has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 33% ROI)

Boston College Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boston College is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.49% ROI).

• Boston College is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -14.34% ROI
• Boston College is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
• Boston College is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Pittsburgh Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Pitt iss 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Pittsburgh is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -12.83% ROI
• Pittsburgh is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
• Pittsburgh is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Boston College: Keys to the Game vs. Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 18 of 89 attempts (20%) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 47 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (11/85) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Pittsburgh tackled opponents for a loss on 19 of 77 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 47 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh: Keys to the Game vs. Boston College

Boston College is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .455

Boston College was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

Boston College was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Boston College is 4-8 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2024 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .490

Matchup Notes for Boston College vs. Pittsburgh

Boston College is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .455

Boston College was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

Boston College was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Boston College is 4-8 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2024 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .490

Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 18 of 89 attempts (20%) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 47 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (11/85) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Pittsburgh tackled opponents for a loss on 19 of 77 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 47 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: 9%

Boston College Offensive Stats & Trends

Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 18 of 89 attempts (20%) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 47 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (11/85) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Pittsburgh tackled opponents for a loss on 19 of 77 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 47 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends

Boston College is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .455

Boston College was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

Boston College was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Boston College is 4-8 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2024 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .490

Boston College Defensive Stats & Trends

Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 18 of 89 attempts (20%) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 47 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (11/85) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Pittsburgh tackled opponents for a loss on 19 of 77 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 47 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends

Boston College is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .455

Boston College was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

Boston College was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Boston College is 4-8 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2024 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .490

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