- Michigan St is a -5 point favorite vs. Boston College
- Boston College vs. Michigan State Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- TV Channel: NBC | PEAC
Boston College (1-0) visit Spartan Stadium to take on Michigan State (1-0) on Sep. 6 in East Lansing, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Michigan St is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -5 (-110).
The Boston College vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Boston College vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Boston College | +5 -110 | 45.5 -105 | +165 |
| Michigan State | -5 -110 | 45.5 -115 | -200 |
Boston College vs Michigan State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this game with 55.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Boston College and Michigan St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Boston College vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 60.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Boston College Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Boston College has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 67% ROI)
- Boston College have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Boston College have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.10 Units / 30% ROI)
Michigan State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+0.95 Units / 4% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.90 Units / 3% ROI)
Boston College Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Boston College is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Boston College is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Boston College is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Boston College is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan St iss 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Michigan State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 6.25% ROI
- Michigan State is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Michigan State is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Boston College: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan State
Boston College was 1-3 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs in the 2024 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .415
Boston College was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2024 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .424
Boston College was 3-6 (.333) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .533
Boston College was 3-6 (.333) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .576
Matchup Notes for Boston College vs. Michigan State
Michael Masunas (MSU) has gained 22 yards after catch this season — 10th-most of Qualified Big Ten Tight Ends. Boston College’s defense has allowed 152 yards after catch this season — 4th-fewest among ACC defenses.
Omari Kelly (MSU) has gained 75 yards after catch this season — 10th-most of Qualified Big Ten Skill Players. Boston College’s defense has allowed 152 yards after catch this season — 4th-fewest among ACC defenses.
Omari Kelly (MSU) has gained 75 yards after catch this season — 9th-most of Qualified Big Ten Wide Receivers. Boston College’s defense has allowed 152 yards after catch this season — 4th-fewest among ACC defenses.
Boston College’s WRs has gained 385 yards on 22 receptions (17.5 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among ACC WRs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 16.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Boston College’s WRs has gained 385 yards on 22 receptions (17.5 YPR) this season — 7th-best among FBS WRs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 11.8 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.
Boston College has gained 458 yards on 31 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — 14th-best among FBS skill players. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 11.8 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.
Boston College Offensive Stats & Trends
Boston College Skill Players have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams
Boston College Skill Players have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Boston College WRs have averaged 228.0 receiving yards per game (228/1) in the 2nd half this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 74.6
Boston College QBs have 5 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Boston College RBs averaged 9.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (356 yards / 38 touches) on 3rd down in the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7
Boston College Defensive Stats & Trends
Boston College did not record a sack (27 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2
Boston College had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.0
Boston College tackled opponents for a loss on just 47 of 463 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Boston College allowed a Completion Pct of 61% (34 completions/56 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 31st-worst in FBS; Average: 54%
Boston College did not record a sack (27 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
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