Boise St vs San Diego St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • San Diego St is a -3 point favorite vs. Boise St
  • Boise State vs. San Diego State Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSN

Boise State (6-3) visit Snapdragon Stadium to take on San Diego State (7-2) on Nov. 15 in San Diego, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST.

San Diego St is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Boise State vs. San Diego State Over/Under is 41.5 total points.

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Boise State vs. San Diego State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boise State+3 -11541.5 -115120
San Diego State -3 -10541.5 -105-145

Boise State vs San Diego State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Boise St and San Diego St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


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Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boise St is 6-2 against the spread this college football season (+3.8 Units / 38.38% ROI).

  • Boise State is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -6.43% ROI
  • Boise State is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.55 Units / 5.53% ROI
  • Boise State is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.23% ROI

San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

San Diego St iss 7-2 against the spread this college football season (+4.8 Units / 48.98% ROI).

  • San Diego State is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / 25.67% ROI
  • San Diego State is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • San Diego State is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Boise State: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State

San Diego State have thrown 0 TDs on 26 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.6

San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 1,390 passing yards in 8 games (just 173.8 YPG) this season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense has allowed just 184.4 passing yards per game this season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.

San Diego State have gained 40+ yards on 9 of their 109 receptions (8%) this season– 6th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

San Diego State WRs had no touchdowns on 6 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9

San Diego State have been sacked on 19% of pass attempts (5/26) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%

San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. Boise State

Boise State has no interceptions and 20 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.8

Boise State sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone last season– most in FBS

Boise State sacked opponents 56 times last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Boise State has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (74/675) since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Boise State averaged 4.0 sacks per game last season– T-best in FBS; Average: 2.1

Matchup Notes for Boise State vs. San Diego State

Boise State has no interceptions and 20 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.8

Boise State sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone last season– most in FBS

Boise State sacked opponents 56 times last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Boise State has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (74/675) since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Boise State averaged 4.0 sacks per game last season– T-best in FBS; Average: 2.1

San Diego State have thrown 0 TDs on 26 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.6

San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 1,390 passing yards in 8 games (just 173.8 YPG) this season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense has allowed just 184.4 passing yards per game this season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.

San Diego State have gained 40+ yards on 9 of their 109 receptions (8%) this season– 6th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

San Diego State WRs had no touchdowns on 6 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9

San Diego State have been sacked on 19% of pass attempts (5/26) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends

San Diego State have thrown 0 TDs on 26 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.6

San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 1,390 passing yards in 8 games (just 173.8 YPG) this season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense has allowed just 184.4 passing yards per game this season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.

San Diego State have gained 40+ yards on 9 of their 109 receptions (8%) this season– 6th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

San Diego State WRs had no touchdowns on 6 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9

San Diego State have been sacked on 19% of pass attempts (5/26) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends

Boise State has no interceptions and 20 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.8

Boise State sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone last season– most in FBS

Boise State sacked opponents 56 times last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Boise State has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (74/675) since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Boise State averaged 4.0 sacks per game last season– T-best in FBS; Average: 2.1

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends

San Diego State have thrown 0 TDs on 26 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.6

San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 1,390 passing yards in 8 games (just 173.8 YPG) this season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense has allowed just 184.4 passing yards per game this season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.

San Diego State have gained 40+ yards on 9 of their 109 receptions (8%) this season– 6th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

San Diego State WRs had no touchdowns on 6 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9

San Diego State have been sacked on 19% of pass attempts (5/26) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%

San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends

Boise State has no interceptions and 20 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.8

Boise State sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone last season– most in FBS

Boise State sacked opponents 56 times last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Boise State has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (74/675) since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Boise State averaged 4.0 sacks per game last season– T-best in FBS; Average: 2.1


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