- Boise St is a -10 point favorite vs. Air Force
- Boise State vs. Air Force Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSN
Boise State (1-1) visit Falcon Stadium to take on Air Force (1-1) on Sep. 20 in U.S. Air Force Academy, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Boise St is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -10 (-115).
The Boise State vs. Air Force Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Boise State vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Boise State | -10 -115 | 51.5 -115 | -375 |
| Air Force | +10 -105 | 51.5 -105 | 300 |
Boise State vs Air Force Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 74.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Boise St and Air Force, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Boise State vs Air Force Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 68.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Boise State Best Bets Today
team high – away
Air Force Best Bets Today
team high – home
Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Boise St is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Boise State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -1.92% ROI
- Boise State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Boise State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Air Force iss 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Air Force is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -100% ROI
- Air Force is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Air Force is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Boise State: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force
Boise State was undefeated (5-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388
Boise State was undefeated (5-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– best in FBS; Average: .429
Boise State was 12-1 (.923) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583
Boise State was 9-1 (.900) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .470
Air Force: Keys to the Game vs. Boise State
Air Force is 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .405
Air Force was 1-7 (.125) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .442
Air Force is 4-8 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2024 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .490
Air Force was 2-6 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Matchup Notes for Boise State vs. Air Force
Air Force’s TEs has gained 114 yards on 7 receptions (16.3 YPR) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among FBS TEs. Boise State’s defense has allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2024 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Air Force’s WRs has gained 316 yards on 13 receptions (24.3 YPR) this season — best among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 15.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Air Force’s QBs has thrown for 1,334 passing yards in 14 games (just 95.3 YPG) since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among FBS teams. Boise State’s defense has allowed 238.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Boise State’s WRs has gained 418 yards on 24 receptions (17.4 YPR) this season — 6th-best among FBS WRs. Air Force’s defense has allowed 15.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Boise State’s WRs has gained 418 yards on 24 receptions (17.4 YPR) this season — 6th-best among FBS WRs. Air Force’s defense has allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Boise State’s RBs has gained 276 yards on 42 receptions (just 6.6 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS RBs. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 6.5 Yards Per Reception to RBs since the 2024 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends
Boise State RBs averaged 222.9 rushing yards per game (3,120/14) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 125.9
Boise State’s WRs has gained 418 yards on 24 receptions (17.4 YPR) this season — 6th-best among FBS WRs. Air Force’s defense has allowed 15.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Boise State RBs have averaged 218.0 rushing yards per game (3,488/16) since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 127.2
Boise State RBs rushed for 855 yards in the 1st quarter last season– most among FBS Teams
Boise State’s WRs has gained 418 yards on 24 receptions (17.4 YPR) this season — 6th-best among FBS WRs. Air Force’s defense has allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends
Air Force have averaged 19.9 yards per reception (338 yards/17 catches) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.9
Air Force Skill Players have averaged 19.9 yards per reception (338 yards/17 catches) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9
Air Force have averaged 26.3 yards per completion (184 yards/7 completions) on 1st down this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.2
Air Force WRs have averaged 24.3 yards per reception (316 yards/13 catches) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2
Air Force Skill Players averaged 17.2 yards per reception (1,048 yards/61 catches) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends
Boise State averaged 4.0 sacks per game last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Boise State has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (61/513) since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Boise State has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (61/513) since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 7%
Boise State has sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Boise State sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone last season– most in FBS
Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends
Air Force has sacked opposing QBs on 20% of pass attempts (9/46) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%
Air Force has sacked opposing QBs on 20% of pass attempts (9/46) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 7%
Air Force has averaged 4.5 sacks per game this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Air Force has averaged 4.5 sacks per game this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 2.1
Air Force allowed 13.0 Yards per Attempt (287 yards/22 attempts) last week– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7.2
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