- Baylor is a -20.5 point favorite vs. Oklahoma St
- Baylor vs. Oklahoma State Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
Baylor (2-2) visit Boone Pickens Stadium to take on Oklahoma State (1-2) on Sep. 27 in Stillwater, OK. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Baylor is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-115).
The Baylor vs. Oklahoma State Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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Baylor vs. Oklahoma State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Baylor | -20.5 -115 | 57.5 -110 | -1600 |
| Oklahoma State | +20.5 -105 | 57.5 -110 | 900 |
Baylor vs Oklahoma State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Baylor will win this game with 87.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Baylor and Oklahoma St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Baylor vs Oklahoma State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 56.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Baylor Best Bets Today
- Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Oklahoma State Best Bets Today
- Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.43 Units / 19% ROI)
- Oklahoma State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- Oklahoma State has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Baylor is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -53.33% ROI).
- Baylor is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -34.29% ROI
- Baylor is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Baylor is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Oklahoma State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oklahoma St iss 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).
- Oklahoma State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -14.18% ROI
- Oklahoma State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Oklahoma State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Baylor: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma State
Baylor WRs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Baylor Skill Players have averaged 28.5 receptions per game (114/4) this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 19.4
Baylor’s offense has thrown for 1,354 passing yards in 4 games (338.5 YPG) this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 214.0 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Baylor has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big 12 skill players. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2024 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Baylor WRs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Oklahoma State: Keys to the Game vs. Baylor
Oklahoma State Skill Players have just one touchdown on 50 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.2
Oklahoma State Skill Players have just one touchdown on 50 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 9.7
Oklahoma State have thrown one TD on 90 pass attempts this season– 4th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.0
Oklahoma State have thrown 0 TDs on 28 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.3
Oklahoma State Skill Players were targeted 18 times in the 4th quarter last week– most among Big 12 Teams
Matchup Notes for Baylor vs. Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State Skill Players have just one touchdown on 50 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.2
Oklahoma State Skill Players have just one touchdown on 50 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 9.7
Oklahoma State have thrown one TD on 90 pass attempts this season– 4th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.0
Oklahoma State have thrown 0 TDs on 28 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.3
Oklahoma State Skill Players were targeted 18 times in the 4th quarter last week– most among Big 12 Teams
Baylor WRs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Baylor Skill Players have averaged 28.5 receptions per game (114/4) this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 19.4
Baylor’s offense has thrown for 1,354 passing yards in 4 games (338.5 YPG) this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 214.0 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Baylor has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big 12 skill players. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2024 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Baylor WRs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends
Baylor WRs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Baylor Skill Players have averaged 28.5 receptions per game (114/4) this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 19.4
Baylor’s offense has thrown for 1,354 passing yards in 4 games (338.5 YPG) this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 214.0 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Baylor has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big 12 skill players. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2024 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Baylor WRs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Oklahoma State Offensive Stats & Trends
Oklahoma State Skill Players have just one touchdown on 50 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.2
Oklahoma State Skill Players have just one touchdown on 50 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 9.7
Oklahoma State have thrown one TD on 90 pass attempts this season– 4th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.0
Oklahoma State have thrown 0 TDs on 28 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.3
Oklahoma State Skill Players were targeted 18 times in the 4th quarter last week– most among Big 12 Teams
Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends
Baylor WRs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Baylor Skill Players have averaged 28.5 receptions per game (114/4) this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 19.4
Baylor’s offense has thrown for 1,354 passing yards in 4 games (338.5 YPG) this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 214.0 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Baylor has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Big 12 skill players. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC since the 2024 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Baylor WRs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Oklahoma State Defensive Stats & Trends
Oklahoma State Skill Players have just one touchdown on 50 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.2
Oklahoma State Skill Players have just one touchdown on 50 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 9.7
Oklahoma State have thrown one TD on 90 pass attempts this season– 4th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.0
Oklahoma State have thrown 0 TDs on 28 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.3
Oklahoma State Skill Players were targeted 18 times in the 4th quarter last week– most among Big 12 Teams
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