Baylor vs Arizona Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

• Arizona is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Baylor
• Baylor vs. Arizona Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
• TV Channel: TNT | tru | HBOM

Baylor (5-5) visit Arizona Stadium to take on Arizona (7-3) on Nov. 22 in Tucson, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST.

Arizona is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-118).

The Baylor vs. Arizona Over/Under is 62.5 total points.

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Baylor vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Baylor vs Arizona Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Arizona will win this game with 66.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Baylor and Arizona, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Baylor vs Arizona Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Baylor Best Bets Today

• Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• Baylor has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• Baylor has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)

Arizona Best Bets Today

• Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 39% ROI)
• Arizona has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 39% ROI)
• Arizona has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 54% ROI)
• Arizona has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
• Arizona have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 33% ROI)

Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Baylor is 2-8 against the spread this college football season (-6.95 Units / -62.33% ROI).

• Baylor is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -5.03% ROI
• Baylor is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
• Baylor is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona iss 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).

• Arizona is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 12.08% ROI
• Arizona is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
• Arizona is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

Baylor: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona

Baylor was 1-10 (.091) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .576

Baylor was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Baylor was 7-4 (.636) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .442

Baylor was 1-4 (.200) when in a one score game last season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. Baylor

Arizona has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (154 completions/293 attempts) this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 62%

Arizona tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 37 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 11%.

Arizona has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (154 completions/293 attempts) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Arizona has allowed opponents to catch just 154 of 286 passes (54% Reception Pct) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Arizona tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 37 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 21st-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Matchup Notes for Baylor vs. Arizona

Arizona has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (154 completions/293 attempts) this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 62%

Arizona tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 37 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 11%.

Arizona has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (154 completions/293 attempts) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Arizona has allowed opponents to catch just 154 of 286 passes (54% Reception Pct) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Arizona tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 37 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 21st-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Baylor was 1-10 (.091) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .576

Baylor was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Baylor was 7-4 (.636) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .442

Baylor was 1-4 (.200) when in a one score game last season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends

Baylor was 1-10 (.091) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .576

Baylor was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Baylor was 7-4 (.636) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .442

Baylor was 1-4 (.200) when in a one score game last season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (154 completions/293 attempts) this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 62%

Arizona tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 37 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 11%.

Arizona has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (154 completions/293 attempts) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Arizona has allowed opponents to catch just 154 of 286 passes (54% Reception Pct) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Arizona tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 37 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 21st-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends

Baylor was 1-10 (.091) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .576

Baylor was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Baylor was 7-4 (.636) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .442

Baylor was 1-4 (.200) when in a one score game last season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (154 completions/293 attempts) this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 62%

Arizona tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 37 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 11%.

Arizona has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (154 completions/293 attempts) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Arizona has allowed opponents to catch just 154 of 286 passes (54% Reception Pct) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Arizona tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 37 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 21st-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

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