Ball St vs Miami (OH) Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

Miami (Ohio) head football coach Chuck Martin directs the team before an NCAA college football game against Northwestern, Saturday, Sept. 24, 2022, in Evanston, Ill. (AP Photo/Matt Marton)
(AP Photo/Matt Marton)
  • Miami (OH) is a -17.5 point favorite vs. Ball St
  • Ball State vs. Miami Ohio Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSN

Ball State (4-7) visit Fred C. Yager Stadium to take on Miami Ohio (6-5) on Nov. 29 in Oxford, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Miami (OH) is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).

The Ball State vs. Miami Ohio Over/Under is 42.5 total points.

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Ball State vs. Miami Ohio Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ball State+17.5 -11042.5 -110675
Miami Ohio -17.5 -11042.5 -110-1100

Ball State vs Miami Ohio Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Miami (OH) will win this game with 63.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ball St and Miami (OH), key player performances this season and recent team trends.


Bet now on Miami (OH) vs Ball St and all games with BetMGM


  • Miami (OH) have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.62 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+0.65 Units / 5% ROI)

Ball State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ball St is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.65 Units / 21.99% ROI).

  • Ball State is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 15.07% ROI
  • Ball State is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
  • Ball State is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI

Miami Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Miami (OH) iss against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Miami Ohio is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Miami Ohio is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Miami Ohio is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Ball State: Keys to the Game vs. Miami Ohio

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Miami (OH) was 8-1 (.889) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

Miami (OH) was winless (0-4) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

Miami Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Ball State

Ball State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 254 attempts this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS offenses. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.6% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Ball State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 254 attempts this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS offenses. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.6% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Ball State TEs were targeted 11.7 times per game (140/12) last season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Ball State TEs averaged 8.5 receptions per game (102/12) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4

Ball State have been sacked on 16% of pass attempts (36/222) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 6%

Matchup Notes for Ball State vs. Miami Ohio

Ball State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 254 attempts this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS offenses. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.6% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Ball State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 254 attempts this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS offenses. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.6% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Ball State TEs were targeted 11.7 times per game (140/12) last season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Ball State TEs averaged 8.5 receptions per game (102/12) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4

Ball State have been sacked on 16% of pass attempts (36/222) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 6%

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Miami (OH) was 8-1 (.889) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

Miami (OH) was winless (0-4) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Miami (OH) was 8-1 (.889) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

Miami (OH) was winless (0-4) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

Miami Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends

Ball State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 254 attempts this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS offenses. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.6% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Ball State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 254 attempts this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS offenses. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.6% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Ball State TEs were targeted 11.7 times per game (140/12) last season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Ball State TEs averaged 8.5 receptions per game (102/12) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4

Ball State have been sacked on 16% of pass attempts (36/222) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 6%

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628

Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Miami (OH) was 8-1 (.889) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

Miami (OH) was winless (0-4) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

Miami Ohio Defensive Stats & Trends

Ball State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 254 attempts this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS offenses. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.6% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Ball State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 254 attempts this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS offenses. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.6% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Ball State TEs were targeted 11.7 times per game (140/12) last season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Ball State TEs averaged 8.5 receptions per game (102/12) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4

Ball State have been sacked on 16% of pass attempts (36/222) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 6%


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