- Auburn is a -42.5 point favorite vs. Ball St
- Ball State vs. Auburn Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
Ball State (0-1) visit Jordan-Hare Stadium to take on Auburn (1-0) on Sep. 6 in Auburn, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Auburn is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -42.5 (-110).
The Ball State vs. Auburn Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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Ball State vs. Auburn Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ball State | +42.5 -110 | 52.5 -115 | + |
| Auburn | -42.5 -110 | 52.5 -105 | + |
Ball State vs Auburn Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ball State will win this game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ball St and Auburn, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Ball State vs Auburn Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 61.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Ball State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.15 Units / 8% ROI)
- Ball State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)
- Ball State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Auburn Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Auburn have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.85 Units / 41% ROI)
Ball State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ball St is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Ball State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Ball State is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Ball State is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Auburn iss 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Auburn is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Auburn is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Auburn is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Ball State: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn
Ball State was 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Ball State was 3-9 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2024 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Ball State was 2-7 (.222) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs in the 2024 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .415
Ball State was 3-9 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2024 season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .444
Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Ball State
Auburn was winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .464
Auburn was 2-7 (.200) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2024 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .443
Auburn was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs in the 2024 season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .460
Auburn was 1-4 (.167) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2024 season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .424
Matchup Notes for Ball State vs. Auburn
Auburn has averaged just 9.8 yards after the catch this season — 4th-worst among SEC skill players. Ball State’s defense has allowed 17.0 RAC this season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Auburn has averaged just 9.8 yards after the catch this season — 4th-worst among SEC skill players. Ball State’s defense has allowed 17.0 RAC this season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Ball State has averaged just 8.7 yards after the catch this season — T-24th-worst among FBS skill players. Auburn’s defense has allowed 15.5 RAC this season — T-3rd-worst among P5 defenses.
Ball State has averaged just 8.7 yards after the catch this season — T-24th-worst among FBS skill players. Auburn’s defense has allowed 15.5 RAC this season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Ball State has averaged just 8.7 yards after the catch this season — T-24th-worst among FBS skill players. Auburn’s defense has allowed 15.5 RAC this season — T-6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends
Ball State TEs have averaged 8.1 receptions per game (105/13) since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4
Ball State TEs averaged 8.4 receptions per game (101/12) in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3
Ball State TEs were targeted 6.6 times per game (79/12) in the 1st half in the 2024 season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.9
Ball State WRs have averaged just 3.0 receptions per game (3/1) this season– T-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7
Ball State TEs had 26 receptions on 3rd down in the 2024 season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends
Auburn TEs have caught 6 of 6 passes (100% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 65%
Auburn Skill Players have no touchdowns on 11 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 8.1
Auburn TEs have been targeted 3.0 times per game (3/1) this season– T-lowest among SEC Teams; Average: 6.4
Auburn RBs averaged 8.8 Yards per Carry (211 yards/24 carries) in close and late situations in the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Auburn Skill Players have been targeted 16.0 times per game (16/1) this season– lowest among SEC Teams; Average: 31.0
Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends
Ball State allowed 37 TD passes in the 2024 season– 2nd-most in FBS
Ball State allowed 13 TDs in close and late situations in the 2024 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Ball State allowed 13 TDs in close and late situations in the 2024 season– most in FBS
Ball State allowed 37 TD passes in the 2024 season– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Ball State did not record a sack (50 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends
Auburn has allowed 419.0 Passing Yards per game (419/1) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 170.5
Auburn has allowed 9.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (483 yards / 51 touches) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 5.6
Auburn has no interceptions (48 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 50.7
Auburn has allowed 419.0 receiving yards per game (419/1) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 166.8
Auburn has allowed 419.0 Passing Yards per game (419/1) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 166.8
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