Auburn vs Vanderbilt Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

BetMGM Betting Nov 07, 2025, 10:54 AM

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Vanderbilt head coach Clark Lea argues a call in the first half of an NCAA college football game against Florida Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn.

(AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)

Vanderbilt is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Auburn
Auburn vs. Vanderbilt Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
TV Channel: SECN

Auburn (4-5) visit FirstBank Stadium to take on Vanderbilt (7-2) on Nov. 8 in Nashville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST.

Vanderbilt is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Auburn vs. Vanderbilt Over/Under is 45.5 total points.

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Auburn vs. Vanderbilt Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Auburn	+6.5 -110	45.5 -110	210
Vanderbilt	-6.5 -110	45.5 -110	-250

Auburn vs Vanderbilt Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Vanderbilt will win this game with 70.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Auburn and Vanderbilt, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Auburn vs Vanderbilt Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 55.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Auburn Best Bets Today

Auburn has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.30 Units / 10% ROI)
Auburn has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 62% ROI)
Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.50 Units / 32% ROI)
Auburn has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)

Vanderbilt Best Bets Today

Vanderbilt has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Vanderbilt has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
Vanderbilt have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Vanderbilt have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.20 Units / 27% ROI)
Vanderbilt has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.70 Units / 25% ROI)

Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Auburn is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

Auburn is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -10.95% ROI
Auburn is 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
Auburn is 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI

Vanderbilt Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Vanderbilt iss 7-2 against the spread this college football season (+4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI).

Vanderbilt is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 6.77% ROI
Vanderbilt is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Vanderbilt is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Vanderbilt

Auburn Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 25.5 receptions (153 Rec/6 TDs) this season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.5

Auburn have thrown 6 TDs on 252 pass attempts (one TD every 42.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.9

Auburn Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 25.5 receptions (153 Rec/6 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 11.4

Auburn’s WRs has gained 1,196 yards on 118 receptions (just 10.1 YPR) this season — worst among Power 5 WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.

Auburn TEs have no touchdowns on 23 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.6

Vanderbilt: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn

Auburn was winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Auburn is 1-11 (.077) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .475

Auburn was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Auburn is 1-10 (.083) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .511

Matchup Notes for Auburn vs. Vanderbilt