- Auburn is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Baylor
- Auburn vs. Baylor Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Auburn (0-0) visit McLane Stadium to take on the Baylor (0-0) on Aug. 29 in Waco, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.
Auburn is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Auburn vs. Baylor Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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Auburn vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Auburn | -2.5 -110 | 57.5 -110 | -135 |
| Baylor | +2.5 -110 | 57.5 -110 | +115 |
Auburn vs Baylor Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Auburn will win this game with 51.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Auburn and Baylor, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Auburn vs Baylor Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 79.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Auburn Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the Game Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Auburn have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.15 Units / 4% ROI)
Baylor Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Baylor was 9-5 against the spread last college football season (+3.5 Units / 22.65% ROI).
- Baylor is 11-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 9.36% ROI
- Baylor is 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.06% ROI
- Baylor is 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.75 Units / -17.92% ROI
Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Baylor
Auburn was winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .464
Auburn is 1-11 (.077) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .482
Auburn is 1-9 (.091) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .519
Auburn is 1-9 (.091) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .503
Baylor: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn
Baylor was 7-4 (.636) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2024 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .443
Baylor is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .722
Baylor is 4-8 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .501
Baylor was 2-7 (.222) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .665
Matchup Notes for Auburn vs. Baylor
Baylor’s TEs gained 505 yards on 41 receptions (12.3 YPR) last season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Auburn’s defense allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.
Baylor’s TEs gained 505 yards on 41 receptions (12.3 YPR) last season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Auburn’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Baylor gained 3,397 yards on 253 receptions (13.4 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Big 12 skill players. Auburn’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Auburn gained 3,167 yards on 230 receptions (13.8 YPR) last season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Baylor’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Auburn gained 3,167 yards on 230 receptions (13.8 YPR) last season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Baylor’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Auburn’s WRs gained 2,517 yards on 161 receptions (15.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. Baylor’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends
Auburn WRs have averaged 20.1 yards per reception (201 yards/10 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 11.7
Auburn gained 3,167 yards on 230 receptions (13.8 YPR) last season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Baylor’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Auburn gained 3,167 yards on 230 receptions (13.8 YPR) last season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. Baylor’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Auburn’s WRs gained 2,517 yards on 161 receptions (15.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. Baylor’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Auburn RBs averaged 8.8 Yards per Carry (211 yards/24 carries) in close and late situations in the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends
Baylor’s TEs gained 505 yards on 41 receptions (12.3 YPR) last season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Auburn’s defense allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.
Baylor’s TEs gained 505 yards on 41 receptions (12.3 YPR) last season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Auburn’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Baylor gained 3,397 yards on 253 receptions (13.4 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Big 12 skill players. Auburn’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Baylor’s WRs gained 2,512 yards on 172 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Big 12 WRs. Auburn’s defense allowed 14.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Baylor’s WRs gained 2,512 yards on 172 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Big 12 WRs. Auburn’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends
Auburn allowed a Completion Pct of just 56% (199 completions/354 attempts) in the 2024 season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 60%
Auburn forced 7 fumbles on 459 carries (65.6 Carries Per Fumble) in the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 34.6
Auburn allowed a Completion Pct of just 56% (199 completions/354 attempts) in the 2024 season– 16th-best in FBS; Average: 61%
Opponents have averaged just 16.4 completions per game (411 / 25) against Auburn since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 18.6
Auburn allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (13 completions/31 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 55%
Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends
Baylor allowed a Completion Pct of just 17% (1 completions/6 attempts) on 3rd and short in the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Baylor did not record a sack (36 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 14.9
Baylor did not record a sack (36 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2
Baylor did not record a sack (36 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Baylor allowed a Completion Pct of just 17% (1 completions/6 attempts) on 3rd and short in the 2024 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 58%
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