Army vs UAB Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

BetMGM Betting Oct 02, 2025, 2:40 PM

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Army is a -7 point favorite vs. UAB
Army vs. UAB Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
TV Channel: ESPNU

Army (1-3) visit Protective Stadium to take on UAB (2-2) on Oct. 4 in Birmingham, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Army is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Army vs. UAB Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Army vs. UAB Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Army	-7 -110	57.5 -110	-275
UAB	+7 -110	57.5 -110	220

Army vs UAB Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Army will win this game with 67.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Army and UAB, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Army vs UAB Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Army will cover the spread with 61.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Army Best Bets Today

Army has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+5.80 Units / 54% ROI)
Army has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.15 Units / 5% ROI)
Army has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 5% ROI)
Army has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.35 Units / 8% ROI)
Army has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

UAB Best Bets Today

UAB has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 52% ROI)
UAB has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
UAB has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 52% ROI)
UAB have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
UAB has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 14% ROI)

Army Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Army is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

Army is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -20.93% ROI
Army is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Army is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

UAB Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UAB iss 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

UAB is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 5.43% ROI
UAB is 4-0 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 90.91% ROI
UAB is 0-4 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -100% ROI

Army: Keys to the Game vs. UAB

Army was 12-1 (.923) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584

Army was undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Army was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Army was undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643

UAB: Keys to the Game vs. Army

UAB has one interception and 10 TD passes allowed this season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.8

UAB has allowed 17.0 yards per completion (1,037 yards/61 completions) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6

UAB tackled opponents for a loss on just 44 of 505 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

UAB has one interception and 10 TD passes allowed this season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.6

UAB has allowed 17.0 yards per completion (1,037 yards/61 completions) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 11.2

Matchup Notes for Army vs. UAB