Army vs Navy Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 16

BetMGM Betting Dec 09, 2025, 4:08 PM

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Navy is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Army
Army vs. Navy Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
TV Channel: CBS | PAR+

Army (6-5) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on Navy (9-2) on Dec. 13 in Baltimore, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST.

Navy is a betting favorite in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Army vs. Navy Over/Under is 38.5 total points.

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Army vs. Navy Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Army	+6.5 -115	38.5 -115	195
Navy	-6.5 -105	38.5 -105	-235

Army vs Navy Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Navy will win this game with 67.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Army and Navy, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Army vs Navy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Navy will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Army Best Bets Today

Army has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+8.35 Units / 113% ROI)
Army have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
Army has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
Army has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
Army has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 39% ROI)

Navy Best Bets Today

Navy has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+11.35 Units / 26% ROI)
Navy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 1% ROI)
Navy has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Navy has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.28 Units / 21% ROI)
Navy has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.55 Units / 31% ROI)

Army Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Army is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).

Army is 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.53% ROI
Army is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
Army is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI

Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Navy iss 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI).

Navy is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.25 Units / 19.74% ROI
Navy is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
Navy is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI

Army: Keys to the Game vs. Navy

Army has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.7

Army has allowed opponents to catch 25 of 31 passes (81% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 56%

Army has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (7/235) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%

Army has averaged a sack every 33.6 pass attempts (235 Pass Attempts/7 Sacks) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.4

Army allowed 10 rushing TDs on 73 carries (7.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.4

Navy: Keys to the Game vs. Army

Navy has gained 1,488 yards on 88 receptions (16.9 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Navy RBs have averaged 8.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,542 yards / 306 touches) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Navy WRs have averaged 21.1 yards per reception (232 yards/11 catches) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

Navy Skill Players have averaged 16.7 yards per reception (1,388 yards/83 catches) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

Navy RBs have 16 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among FBS Teams

Matchup Notes for Army vs. Navy