- UL Monroe is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Arkansas St
- Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
Arkansas State (1-3) visit JPS Field at Malone Stadium to take on UL Monroe (2-1) on Sep. 27 in Monroe, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EDT.
UL Monroe is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arkansas State | +1.5 -110 | 53.5 -105 | 100 |
| UL Monroe | -1.5 -110 | 53.5 -115 | -120 |
Arkansas State vs UL Monroe Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this game with 76.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas St and UL Monroe, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Arkansas State vs UL Monroe Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 76.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Arkansas State Best Bets Today
- Arkansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- Arkansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.70 Units / 4% ROI)
UL Monroe Best Bets Today
- UL – Monroe has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- UL – Monroe has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- UL Monroe has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- UL – Monroe has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 28% ROI)
Arkansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas St is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Arkansas State is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -29.53% ROI
- Arkansas State is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Arkansas State is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
UL Monroe Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UL Monroe iss 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- UL Monroe is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 180% ROI
- UL Monroe is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- UL Monroe is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Arkansas State: Keys to the Game vs. UL Monroe
Arkansas State RBs have fumbled 4 times this season– most among FBS Teams
Arkansas State’s RBs has averaged just 5.3 yards after the catch this season — 24th-worst among FBS RBs. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense has allowed 13.0 RAC this season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State TEs have averaged just 7.1 yards per reception (400 yards/56 catches) since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.0
Arkansas State have thrown 8 TDs and just one interception in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.6
Arkansas State has 91 receptions in 4 games (22.8 per game) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.
UL Monroe: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas State
Louisiana-Monroe Skill Players averaged 19.4 yards per reception (485 yards/25 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0
Louisiana-Monroe WRs averaged 22.6 yards per reception (430 yards/19 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2
Louisiana-Monroe’s offense has thrown for 327 passing yards in 3 games (just 109.0 YPG) this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 288.5 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Louisiana-Monroe’s QBs has thrown for 327 passing yards in 3 games (just 109.0 YPG) this season — 4th-worst among FBS teams. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 288.5 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Louisiana-Monroe’s offense has thrown for 327 passing yards in 3 games (just 109.0 YPG) this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 288.5 passing yards per game this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Matchup Notes for Arkansas State vs. UL Monroe
Louisiana-Monroe Skill Players averaged 19.4 yards per reception (485 yards/25 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0
Louisiana-Monroe WRs averaged 22.6 yards per reception (430 yards/19 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2
Louisiana-Monroe’s offense has thrown for 327 passing yards in 3 games (just 109.0 YPG) this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 288.5 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Louisiana-Monroe’s QBs has thrown for 327 passing yards in 3 games (just 109.0 YPG) this season — 4th-worst among FBS teams. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 288.5 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Louisiana-Monroe’s offense has thrown for 327 passing yards in 3 games (just 109.0 YPG) this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 288.5 passing yards per game this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State RBs have fumbled 4 times this season– most among FBS Teams
Arkansas State’s RBs has averaged just 5.3 yards after the catch this season — 24th-worst among FBS RBs. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense has allowed 13.0 RAC this season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State TEs have averaged just 7.1 yards per reception (400 yards/56 catches) since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.0
Arkansas State have thrown 8 TDs and just one interception in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.6
Arkansas State has 91 receptions in 4 games (22.8 per game) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas State RBs have fumbled 4 times this season– most among FBS Teams
Arkansas State’s RBs has averaged just 5.3 yards after the catch this season — 24th-worst among FBS RBs. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense has allowed 13.0 RAC this season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State TEs have averaged just 7.1 yards per reception (400 yards/56 catches) since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.0
Arkansas State have thrown 8 TDs and just one interception in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.6
Arkansas State has 91 receptions in 4 games (22.8 per game) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.
UL Monroe Offensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana-Monroe Skill Players averaged 19.4 yards per reception (485 yards/25 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0
Louisiana-Monroe WRs averaged 22.6 yards per reception (430 yards/19 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2
Louisiana-Monroe’s offense has thrown for 327 passing yards in 3 games (just 109.0 YPG) this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 288.5 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Louisiana-Monroe’s QBs has thrown for 327 passing yards in 3 games (just 109.0 YPG) this season — 4th-worst among FBS teams. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 288.5 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Louisiana-Monroe’s offense has thrown for 327 passing yards in 3 games (just 109.0 YPG) this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 288.5 passing yards per game this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas State RBs have fumbled 4 times this season– most among FBS Teams
Arkansas State’s RBs has averaged just 5.3 yards after the catch this season — 24th-worst among FBS RBs. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense has allowed 13.0 RAC this season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State TEs have averaged just 7.1 yards per reception (400 yards/56 catches) since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.0
Arkansas State have thrown 8 TDs and just one interception in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.6
Arkansas State has 91 receptions in 4 games (22.8 per game) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Louisiana-Monroe’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.
UL Monroe Defensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana-Monroe Skill Players averaged 19.4 yards per reception (485 yards/25 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0
Louisiana-Monroe WRs averaged 22.6 yards per reception (430 yards/19 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2
Louisiana-Monroe’s offense has thrown for 327 passing yards in 3 games (just 109.0 YPG) this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 288.5 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Louisiana-Monroe’s QBs has thrown for 327 passing yards in 3 games (just 109.0 YPG) this season — 4th-worst among FBS teams. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 288.5 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Louisiana-Monroe’s offense has thrown for 327 passing yards in 3 games (just 109.0 YPG) this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 288.5 passing yards per game this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
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