- Arkansas St is a -4.5 point favorite vs. Kennesaw St
- Arkansas State vs. Kennesaw State Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
Arkansas State (1-2) visit Fifth Third Stadium to take on Kennesaw State (1-2) on Sep. 20 in Kennesaw, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT.
Arkansas St is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Arkansas State vs. Kennesaw State Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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Arkansas State vs. Kennesaw State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arkansas State | -4.5 -115 | 56.5 -115 | -200 |
| Kennesaw State | +4.5 -105 | 56.5 -105 | 165 |
Arkansas State vs Kennesaw State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this game with 65.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas St and Kennesaw St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Arkansas State vs Kennesaw State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 60.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Arkansas State Best Bets Today
- Arkansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+3.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Arkansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Kennesaw State Best Bets Today
- Kennesaw State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+16.48 Units / 120% ROI)
- Kennesaw State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kennesaw State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Kennesaw State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
Arkansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas St is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Arkansas State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -12.82% ROI
- Arkansas State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Arkansas State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Kennesaw State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kennesaw St iss 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Kennesaw State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -9.52% ROI
- Kennesaw State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Kennesaw State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Arkansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Kennesaw State
Arkansas State was 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: .602
Arkansas State was 7-5 (.583) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 35th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Arkansas State was 7-5 (.583) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388
Arkansas State was 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583
Kennesaw State: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas State
Kennesaw State is winless (0-9) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .558
Kennesaw State was winless (0-1) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572
Kennesaw State is winless (0-9) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .479
Kennesaw State was winless (0-8) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Matchup Notes for Arkansas State vs. Kennesaw State
Kennesaw State’s QBs has thrown for 527 passing yards in 3 games (just 175.7 YPG) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS teams. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 282.0 passing yards per game this season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kennesaw State’s offense has thrown for 2,163 passing yards in 15 games (just 144.2 YPG) since the 2024 season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 256.1 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kennesaw State’s QBs has thrown for 636 passing yards in 7 games (just 90.9 YPG) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among FBS teams. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 256.1 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State’s WRs has averaged 23.1 targets per game since the 2024 season — T-32nd-highest among FBS WRs. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed 14.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Corey Rucker (ARST) has averaged 9.4 targets per game since the 2024 season — 4th-highest of Qualified Wide Receiver. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed 14.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas State had no touchdowns on 19 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.9
Arkansas State Skill Players had no touchdowns on 19 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9
Arkansas State’s WRs has averaged 23.1 targets per game since the 2024 season — T-32nd-highest among FBS WRs. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed 14.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State threw 0 TDs on 33 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.6
Arkansas State TEs have averaged just 5.6 yards per reception (168 yards/30 catches) in the 1st half since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
Kennesaw State Offensive Stats & Trends
Kennesaw State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 26.0 receptions (156 Rec/6 TDs) last season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Kennesaw State WRs averaged just 4.7 yards per reception (14 yards/3 catches) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3
Kennesaw State completed passes for 20+ yards on just 0 of their 14 total passing attempts (0%) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11%
Kennesaw State RBs averaged 8.1 Yards per Carry (114 yards/14 carries) in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Kennesaw State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 44.3 receptions (133 Rec/3 TDs) since the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1
Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas State has allowed 4 TDs in close and late situations this season– most in FBS
Arkansas State has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 10 of 25 carries (40%) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 17%
Arkansas State has allowed 4 TDs in close and late situations this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Arkansas State allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 9 of 23 carries (39%) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%
Arkansas State has allowed 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,446 yards / 156 touches) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6.9
Kennesaw State Defensive Stats & Trends
Kennesaw State tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 7 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Kennesaw State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Kennesaw State has no interceptions and 5 TD passes allowed this season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.6
Kennesaw State intercepted 4 of 360 attempts (90.0 pass attempts per int.) last season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.1
Kennesaw State has no interceptions and 5 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
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