Arkansas St vs Appalachian St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 14

• Appalachian St is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Arkansas St
• Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN+

Arkansas State (5-6) visit Kidd Brewer Stadium to take on Appalachian State (5-6) on Nov. 29 in Boone, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:30pm EST.

Appalachian St is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

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Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Arkansas State vs Appalachian State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Appalachian State will win this game with 55.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas St and Appalachian St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Arkansas State vs Appalachian State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Appalachian State will cover the spread with 50.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Arkansas State Best Bets Today

• Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 33% ROI)
• Arkansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 38% ROI)
• Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 51% ROI)
• Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
• Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Appalachian State Best Bets Today

• App State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
• Appalachian State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
• Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)

Arkansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arkansas St is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI).

• Arkansas State is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 23.91% ROI
• Arkansas State is 3-8 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
• Arkansas State is 8-3 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI

Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Appalachian St iss 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.55 Units / -4.98% ROI).

• Appalachian State is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.78 Units / -37.1% ROI
• Appalachian State is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.55 Units / -4.98% ROI
• Appalachian State is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.57% ROI

Arkansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Appalachian State

Appalachian State has sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Appalachian State has sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Appalachian State allowed 5.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Appalachian State allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (193 completions/281 attempts) last season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Appalachian State allowed opponents to catch 193 of 270 passes (71% Reception Pct) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Appalachian State: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas State

Appalachian State is 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Appalachian State is 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .611

Appalachian State is 1-5 (.167) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .413

Appalachian State was 2-6 (.250) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Matchup Notes for Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State

Appalachian State is 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Appalachian State is 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .611

Appalachian State is 1-5 (.167) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .413

Appalachian State was 2-6 (.250) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Appalachian State has sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Appalachian State has sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Appalachian State allowed 5.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Appalachian State allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (193 completions/281 attempts) last season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Appalachian State allowed opponents to catch 193 of 270 passes (71% Reception Pct) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State has sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Appalachian State has sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Appalachian State allowed 5.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Appalachian State allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (193 completions/281 attempts) last season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Appalachian State allowed opponents to catch 193 of 270 passes (71% Reception Pct) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State is 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Appalachian State is 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .611

Appalachian State is 1-5 (.167) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .413

Appalachian State was 2-6 (.250) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State has sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Appalachian State has sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Appalachian State allowed 5.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Appalachian State allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (193 completions/281 attempts) last season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Appalachian State allowed opponents to catch 193 of 270 passes (71% Reception Pct) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Appalachian State Defensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State is 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Appalachian State is 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .611

Appalachian State is 1-5 (.167) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .413

Appalachian State was 2-6 (.250) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .382

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