- Mississippi is a -7 point favorite vs. Arkansas
- Arkansas vs. Ole Miss Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
Arkansas (2-0) visit Vaught-Hemingway Stadium to take on Ole Miss (2-0) on Sep. 13 in University, MS. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Mississippi is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Arkansas vs. Ole Miss Over/Under is 61.5 total points.
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Arkansas vs. Ole Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arkansas | +7 -110 | 61.5 -110 | 220 |
| Ole Miss | -7 -110 | 61.5 -110 | -275 |
Arkansas vs Ole Miss Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 71.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas and Mississippi, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Arkansas vs Ole Miss Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 60.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Arkansas Best Bets Today
- Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Ole Miss Best Bets Today
- Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ole Miss have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Arkansas is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 5.26% ROI
- Arkansas is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Arkansas is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Ole Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi iss 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Ole Miss is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 32.26% ROI
- Ole Miss is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Ole Miss is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. Ole Miss
Arkansas was 4-1 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .668
Arkansas was 1-6 (.143) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .582
Arkansas was 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .502
Arkansas was winless (0-8) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .460
Ole Miss: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas
Ole Miss was 2-1 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468
Ole Miss was 8-2 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .668
Ole Miss was 9-2 (.818) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season– T-11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .631
Ole Miss was 8-2 (.800) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .442
Matchup Notes for Arkansas vs. Ole Miss
Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 21.3% of 61 attempts this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 1.5% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 21.3% of 61 attempts this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 1.5% of attempts this season — T-2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss’s TEs has gained 107 yards on 6 receptions (17.8 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC TEs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.
Arkansas’s QBs has thrown for 667 passing yards in 2 games (333.5 YPG) this season — 13th-best among FBS teams. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 128.0 passing yards per game this season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.9% of 65 attempts this season — T-16th-best among FBS offenses. Ole Miss’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.2% of attempts this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas’s TEs has gained 139 yards on 7 receptions (19.9 YPR) this season — best among SEC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.
Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas Skill Players averaged 20.6 yards per reception (743 yards/36 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
Arkansas’s QBs has thrown for 667 passing yards in 2 games (333.5 YPG) this season — 13th-best among FBS teams. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 128.0 passing yards per game this season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.9% of 65 attempts this season — T-16th-best among FBS offenses. Ole Miss’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.2% of attempts this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas WRs have averaged 25.5 yards per reception (662 yards/26 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.5
Arkansas’s TEs has gained 139 yards on 7 receptions (19.9 YPR) this season — best among SEC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.
Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss Skill Players have averaged 15.7 yards per reception (5,196 yards/332 catches) since the 2024 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 12.8
Ole Miss QBs had 42 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last season– most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 21.3% of 61 attempts this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 1.5% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 21.3% of 61 attempts this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 1.5% of attempts this season — T-2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss WRs have 7 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas had no interceptions and 11 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 5.8
Arkansas has no interceptions and 12 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 6.6
Arkansas tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 34 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
Arkansas do not has an interception in 1 games this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 0.56
Arkansas tackled opponents for a loss on just 6 of 70 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 15%.
Ole Miss Defensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss tackled opponents for a loss on 112 of 456 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) last season– best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Ole Miss tackled opponents for a loss on 112 of 456 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) last season– best in the SEC; Average: 17%.
Ole Miss allowed 7 rushing TDs on 456 carries (65.1 Carries Per TD) last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 23.2
Ole Miss tackled opponents for a loss on 15 of 51 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Ole Miss tackled opponents for a loss on 15 of 51 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
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