- Arkansas is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Memphis
- Arkansas vs. Memphis Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
Arkansas (2-1) visit Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium to take on Memphis (3-0) on Sep. 20 in Memphis, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Arkansas is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).
The Arkansas vs. Memphis Over/Under is 62.5 total points.
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Arkansas vs. Memphis Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arkansas | -7.5 -115 | 62.5 -110 | -300 |
| Memphis | +7.5 -105 | 62.5 -110 | 240 |
Arkansas vs Memphis Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this game with 65.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas and Memphis, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Arkansas vs Memphis Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 60.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Arkansas Best Bets Today
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 2% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.20 Units / 2% ROI)
Memphis Best Bets Today
- Memphis has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 7% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.98 Units / 29% ROI)
- Memphis have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 13 games (+0.50 Units / 3% ROI)
Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Arkansas is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Arkansas is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Arkansas is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Memphis iss 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Memphis is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 6.27% ROI
- Memphis is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.25 Units / -100% ROI
- Memphis is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 89.55% ROI
Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. Memphis
Arkansas is undefeated (7-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .684
Arkansas was winless (0-8) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .460
Arkansas was winless (0-8) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .418
Arkansas was 1-6 (.143) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .582
Memphis: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas
Memphis was 10-1 (.909) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .575
Memphis was 10-1 (.909) when not losing a fumble last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .533
Memphis was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643
Memphis was 11-2 (.846) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584
Matchup Notes for Arkansas vs. Memphis
Memphis has 365 receptions in 16 games (22.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS skill players. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 19.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Memphis has 365 receptions in 16 games (22.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS skill players. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 19.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — worst among SEC defenses.
Memphis’s RBs has rushed for 2,497 yards on 425 carries (5.9 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS RBs. Arkansas’s defense have allowed just 3.5 YPC since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas has 323 receptions in 16 games (20.2 per game) since the 2024 season — T-5th-best among SEC skill players. Memphis’s defense has allowed 20.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas’s WRs has 231 receptions in 16 games (14.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among SEC WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed 13.5 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas’s offense has thrown for 4,543 passing yards in 16 games (283.9 YPG) since the 2024 season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Memphis’s defense has allowed 242.1 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas have thrown for 4 TDs in the 3rd quarter this season– T-most among FBS Offenses
Arkansas WRs averaged 25.8 yards per reception (620 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8
Arkansas Skill Players averaged 20.6 yards per reception (743 yards/36 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.1
Arkansas has 323 receptions in 16 games (20.2 per game) since the 2024 season — T-5th-best among SEC skill players. Memphis’s defense has allowed 20.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas Skill Players have averaged 20.0 yards per reception (821 yards/41 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8
Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends
Memphis has 365 receptions in 16 games (22.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS skill players. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 19.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Memphis RBs caught 6 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among FBS Teams
Memphis QBs have 23 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since the 2024 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Memphis RBs picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Memphis RBs caught 7 touchdown passes last season– T-most among FBS Teams
Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas had no interceptions and 2 TD passes allowed last week– T-3rd-worst in the SEC; Average: 0.9
Arkansas had no interceptions and 11 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 5.8
Arkansas tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 34 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.
Arkansas allowed passes of 40+ yards on 3 of 30 attempts (10%) last week– worst in the SEC; Average: 2%
Arkansas allowed 5 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most in the SEC
Memphis Defensive Stats & Trends
Memphis allowed no passing TDs (32 pass attempts) last week– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.9
Memphis has allowed one rushing TD on 87 carries this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.7
Memphis allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (12 completions/32 attempts) last week– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 62%
Memphis allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (12 completions/32 attempts) last week– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Memphis allowed 112.0 yards from scrimmage per game last week– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 394.9
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