Arkansas vs LSU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

BetMGM Betting Nov 14, 2025, 11:35 AM

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LSU head coach Brian Kelly argues a call during the third quarter of an NCAA college football game against Missouri, Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023, in Columbia, Mo. LSU won 49-39. (AP Photo/L.G. Patterson)

(AP Photo/L.G. Patterson)

LSU is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Arkansas
Arkansas vs. LSU Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
TV Channel: SECN

Arkansas (2-7) visit Tiger Stadium to take on LSU (5-4) on Nov. 15 in Baton Rouge, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:45pm EST.

LSU is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Arkansas vs. LSU Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Arkansas vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Arkansas	+5.5 -110	56.5 -115	180
LSU	-5.5 -110	56.5 -105	-220

Arkansas vs LSU Prediction:

The winning team model predicts LSU will win this game with 63.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas and LSU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

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Arkansas Best Bets Today

Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 30% ROI)
Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 1% ROI)
Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.10 Units / 14% ROI)
Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 23% ROI)

LSU Best Bets Today

LSU has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.20 Units / 9% ROI)
LSU has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.35 Units / 33% ROI)
LSU has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
LSU has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.82 Units / 29% ROI)

Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arkansas is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

Arkansas is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -30.8% ROI
Arkansas is 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
Arkansas is 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI

LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

LSU iss 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.45 Units / -28% ROI).

LSU is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -2.43% ROI
LSU is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
LSU is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI

Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. LSU

Arkansas had no interceptions and 11 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 5.8

Arkansas has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 37 of 268 attempts (14%) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 9%

Arkansas tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 34 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.

Arkansas has allowed 7.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (3,875 yards / 520 touches) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 6.4

Arkansas has allowed 35 TDs this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2.5

LSU: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas

LSU TEs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

LSU TEs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

LSU’s QBs has thrown for 6,248 passing yards in 22 games (284.0 YPG) since the 2024 season — 10th-best among FBS teams. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 246.7 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.

LSU’s RBs has averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch this season — T-6th-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 13.2 RAC this season — 5th-worst among P5 defenses.

LSU’s offense has thrown for 6,264 passing yards in 22 games (284.7 YPG) since the 2024 season — 10th-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 246.7 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Arkansas vs. LSU