- Arizona St is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Mississippi St
- Arizona State vs. Mississippi State Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
Arizona State (1-0) visit Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field to take on Mississippi State (1-0) on Sep. 6 in Starkville, MS. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Arizona St is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Arizona State vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 58.5 total points.
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Arizona State vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arizona State | -6.5 -110 | 58.5 -105 | -235 |
| Mississippi State | +6.5 -110 | 58.5 -115 | +190 |
Arizona State vs Mississippi State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arizona State will win this game with 67.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona St and Mississippi St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Arizona State vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona State will cover the spread with 61.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Arizona State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+9.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Arizona State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 3 away games (+3.80 Units / 88% ROI)
Mississippi State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 48% ROI)
Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona St is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Arizona State is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Arizona State is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Arizona State is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Mississippi State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi St iss 0-0 against the spread this college football season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- Mississippi State is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Mississippi State is 0-0 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Mississippi State is 0-0 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Arizona State: Keys to the Game vs. Mississippi State
Arizona State was undefeated (10-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .656
Arizona State was 8-2 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2024 season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: .431
Arizona State was 8-2 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass in the 2024 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .670
Arizona State was undefeated (10-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .627
Mississippi State: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona State
Mississippi State was winless (0-9) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .464
Mississippi State was 1-6 (.143) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2024 season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .577
Mississippi State was 1-8 (.111) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500
Mississippi State was 2-10 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2024 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Matchup Notes for Arizona State vs. Mississippi State
Mississippi State has been targeted 37 times this season — T-2nd-most among SEC skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 242 receiving yards this season — 5th-most among Big 12 defenses.
Mississippi State’s TEs has been targeted 7 times this season — T-3rd-most among SEC TEs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 242 receiving yards this season — 5th-most among Big 12 defenses.
Seydou Traore (MSST) has gained 77 yards after catch this season — 4th-most of Qualified SEC Tight Ends. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 242 yards after catch this season — T-4th-most among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona State has gained 257 yards on 25 receptions (just 10.3 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Mississippi State’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.
Arizona State’s WRs has gained 146 yards on 14 receptions (just 10.4 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 WRs. Mississippi State’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.
Arizona State’s WRs has gained 146 yards on 14 receptions (just 10.4 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 WRs. Mississippi State’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State has gained 257 yards on 25 receptions (just 10.3 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Mississippi State’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.
Arizona State RBs have been targeted 12.0 times per game (12/1) this season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3
Arizona State’s WRs has gained 146 yards on 14 receptions (just 10.4 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 WRs. Mississippi State’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.
Arizona State RBs have averaged 10.0 receptions per game (10/1) this season– T-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.2
Arizona State RBs have 12 receptions for 20 or more yards since the 2024 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends
Mississippi State TEs have averaged a touchdown every 24.0 receptions (48 Rec/2 TDs) since the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 8.8
Mississippi State WRs have no touchdowns on 17 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 8.3
Mississippi State TEs have 67 receiving yards on 3rd down this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Mississippi State TEs had just one touchdown on 43 receptions in the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 9.5
Mississippi State TEs have just one touchdown on 6 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 1.8
Arizona State Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 55 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 14%.
Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.9
Arizona State allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 7 of 18 carries (39%) on 3rd and long in the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 17%
Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Arizona State allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 7 of 18 carries (39%) on 3rd and long in the 2024 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 20%
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends
Mississippi State sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (10/341) in the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 8%
Mississippi State allowed 456.3 yards from scrimmage per game in the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 341.3
Mississippi State has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (11/380) since the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 8%
Mississippi State allowed 2,603 rushing yards in the 2024 season– most in the SEC
Mississippi State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 56 of 558 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) since the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 17%.
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