- Iowa St is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Arizona
- Arizona vs. Iowa State Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
Arizona (3-0) visit Jack Trice Stadium to take on Iowa State (4-0) on Sep. 27 in Ames, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Iowa St is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).
The Arizona vs. Iowa State Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Arizona vs. Iowa State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arizona | +6.5 -105 | 48.5 -105 | 200 |
| Iowa State | -6.5 -115 | 48.5 -115 | -250 |
Arizona vs Iowa State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this game with 68.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona and Iowa St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Arizona vs Iowa State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa State will cover the spread with 65.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Arizona Best Bets Today
- Arizona has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.55 Units / 4% ROI)
Iowa State Best Bets Today
- Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+5.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+2.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- Iowa State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Arizona is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 27.21% ROI
- Arizona is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Arizona is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
Iowa State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa St iss 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI).
- Iowa State is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 17.1% ROI
- Iowa State is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Iowa State is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa State
Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2
Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.3% of 85 attempts this season — T-16th-best among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 8.6% of attempts this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona have been sacked on 23% of pass attempts (3/13) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Big 12 Offenses; Average: 6%
Arizona’s TEs has 39 receptions in 15 games (just 2.6 per game) since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 14.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Arizona TEs had no touchdowns on 3 receptions in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 1.9
Iowa State: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona
Iowa State have thrown 0 TDs on 26 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.3
Iowa State’s WRs has gained 459 yards on 28 receptions (16.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 WRs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs has gained 372 yards on 30 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-best among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs has gained 372 yards on 30 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 4.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs has gained 372 yards on 30 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Matchup Notes for Arizona vs. Iowa State
Iowa State have thrown 0 TDs on 26 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.3
Iowa State’s WRs has gained 459 yards on 28 receptions (16.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 WRs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs has gained 372 yards on 30 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-best among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs has gained 372 yards on 30 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 4.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs has gained 372 yards on 30 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2
Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.3% of 85 attempts this season — T-16th-best among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 8.6% of attempts this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona have been sacked on 23% of pass attempts (3/13) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Big 12 Offenses; Average: 6%
Arizona’s TEs has 39 receptions in 15 games (just 2.6 per game) since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 14.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Arizona TEs had no touchdowns on 3 receptions in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 1.9
Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2
Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.3% of 85 attempts this season — T-16th-best among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 8.6% of attempts this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona have been sacked on 23% of pass attempts (3/13) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Big 12 Offenses; Average: 6%
Arizona’s TEs has 39 receptions in 15 games (just 2.6 per game) since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 14.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Arizona TEs had no touchdowns on 3 receptions in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 1.9
Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State have thrown 0 TDs on 26 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.3
Iowa State’s WRs has gained 459 yards on 28 receptions (16.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 WRs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs has gained 372 yards on 30 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-best among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs has gained 372 yards on 30 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 4.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs has gained 372 yards on 30 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2
Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.3% of 85 attempts this season — T-16th-best among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 8.6% of attempts this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona have been sacked on 23% of pass attempts (3/13) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Big 12 Offenses; Average: 6%
Arizona’s TEs has 39 receptions in 15 games (just 2.6 per game) since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 14.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Arizona TEs had no touchdowns on 3 receptions in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 1.9
Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State have thrown 0 TDs on 26 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.3
Iowa State’s WRs has gained 459 yards on 28 receptions (16.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 WRs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs has gained 372 yards on 30 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-best among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs has gained 372 yards on 30 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 4.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs has gained 372 yards on 30 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 7.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among FBS defenses.
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