Arizona vs Cincinnati Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

BetMGM Betting Nov 14, 2025, 11:35 AM

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FILE - Cincinnati head coach Scott Satterfield, center, leads the team onto the field before an NCAA college football game against Central Florida, Oct. 12, 2024, in Orlando, Fla. (AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack)

Cincinnati is a -6 point favorite vs. Arizona
Arizona vs. Cincinnati Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
TV Channel: FS1

Arizona (6-3) visit Nippert Stadium to take on Cincinnati (7-2) on Nov. 15 in Cincinnati, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Cincinnati is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Arizona vs. Cincinnati Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Arizona vs. Cincinnati Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Arizona	+6 -110	56.5 -115	180
Cincinnati	-6 -110	56.5 -105	-220

Arizona vs Cincinnati Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Cincinnati will win this game with 65.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona and Cincinnati, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Arizona vs Cincinnati Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Cincinnati will cover the spread with 54.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Arizona Best Bets Today

Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 39% ROI)
Arizona has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 22% ROI)
Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.00 Units / 11% ROI)
Arizona has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 47% ROI)
Arizona have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)

Cincinnati Best Bets Today

Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Cincinnati have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.70 Units / 51% ROI)
Cincinnati have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Cincinnati has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.65 Units / 32% ROI)

Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).

Arizona is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 6.17% ROI
Arizona is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
Arizona is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Cincinnati Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Cincinnati iss 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).

Cincinnati is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 10.17% ROI
Cincinnati is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
Cincinnati is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. Cincinnati

Arizona is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Arizona was 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Arizona was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581

Arizona was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Cincinnati: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona

Cincinnati Skill Players have averaged 14.5 yards per reception (2,159 yards/149 catches) this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.1

Cincinnati have thrown 11.0 Passing TDs per Interception (22 passing TDs/2 interceptions) this season– 4th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.2

Cincinnati WRs have averaged 24.1 yards per reception (217 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.5

Cincinnati RBs averaged 8.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (159 yards / 19 touches) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Cincinnati RBs averaged 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (379 yards / 41 touches) on 3rd down last season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

Matchup Notes for Arizona vs. Cincinnati