Appalachian St vs Charlotte Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 1

Charlotte wide receiver Jairus Mack (12) reacts during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Maryland, Saturday, Sept. 9, 2023, in College Park, Md. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
  • Appalachian St is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Charlotte
  • Appalachian State vs. Charlotte Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPNU

The Appalachian State (0-0) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Charlotte (0-0) on Aug. 29 in Charlotte, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

Appalachian St is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Appalachian State vs. Charlotte Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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Appalachian State vs. Charlotte Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Appalachian State-6.5 -11550.5 -110-250
Charlotte +6.5 -10550.5 -110+200

Appalachian State vs Charlotte Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Appalachian State will win this game with 69.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Appalachian St and Charlotte, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Appalachian State vs Charlotte Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Appalachian State will cover the spread with 59.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Charlotte have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.85 Units / 41% ROI)

Charlotte Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Charlotte was 9-5 against the spread last college football season (+3.5 Units / 22.65% ROI).

  • Charlotte is 11-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 9.36% ROI
  • Charlotte is 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.06% ROI
  • Charlotte is 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.75 Units / -17.92% ROI

Appalachian State: Keys to the Game vs. Charlotte

Appalachian State is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .722

Appalachian State is 10-2 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .669

Appalachian State is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .705

Appalachian State is 10-4 (.714) when forcing and recovering at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .556

Charlotte: Keys to the Game vs. Appalachian State

Charlotte is 4-14 (.222) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .368

Charlotte is 6-16 (.273) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– 18th-worst in FBS; Average: .480

Charlotte is 5-11 (.312) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .569

Charlotte is 5-15 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .441

Matchup Notes for Appalachian State vs. Charlotte

Charlotte’s QBs rushed for -44 yards on 77 carries (just -0.6 YPC) last season — 6th-worst among FBS teams. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 5.3 YPC last season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

There are no matchup notes available for this game

Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State TEs have caught 14 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Appalachian State RBs averaged just 4.3 Yards per Carry (321 yards/75 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– T-26th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Appalachian State WRs averaged 16.1 yards per reception (2,355 yards/146 catches) in the 2024 season– 8th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3

Appalachian State WRs have averaged 14.4 receptions per game (359/25) since the 2023 season– T-35th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Appalachian State RBs averaged 4.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (418 yards / 90 touches) in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– T-23rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Charlotte Offensive Stats & Trends

Charlotte WRs averaged 18.4 yards per reception (2,114 yards/115 catches) in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3

Charlotte WRs averaged 26.5 yards per reception (212 yards/8 catches) with 4-6 yards to go in the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

Charlotte WRs have averaged 18.9 yards per reception (397 yards/21 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4

Charlotte WRs averaged 20.0 yards per reception (600 yards/30 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

Charlotte WRs averaged 20.0 yards per reception (1,039 yards/52 catches) on 1st down in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.7

Appalachian State Defensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State allowed opponents to catch 192 of 268 passes (72% Reception Pct) in the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Appalachian State allowed 5.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) in the 2024 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

Appalachian State allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (192 completions/280 attempts) in the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Appalachian State allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (192 completions/280 attempts) in the 2024 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Appalachian State allowed opponents to catch 192 of 268 passes (72% Reception Pct) in the 2024 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 62%

Charlotte Defensive Stats & Trends

Charlotte has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (9 completions/23 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 63%

Charlotte allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 7 of 18 carries (39%) on 3rd and long in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 18%

Charlotte allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 7 of 18 carries (39%) on 3rd and long in the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%

Charlotte has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (9 completions/23 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 62%

Charlotte tackled opponents for a loss on just 63 of 485 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) in the 2024 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.


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