Appalachian St vs Boise St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 5

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • Boise St is a -16.5 point favorite vs. Appalachian St
  • Appalachian State vs. Boise State Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

Appalachian State (2-1) visit Albertsons Stadium to take on Boise State (2-1) on Sep. 27 in Boise, ID. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Boise St is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-105).

The Appalachian State vs. Boise State Over/Under is 61.5 total points.

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Appalachian State vs. Boise State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Appalachian State+16.5 -11561.5 -115525
Boise State -16.5 -10561.5 -105-750

Appalachian State vs Boise State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 84.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Appalachian St and Boise St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Appalachian State vs Boise State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Appalachian State will cover the spread with 67.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boise St iss 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Boise State is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Boise State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Boise State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Appalachian State: Keys to the Game vs. Boise State

Appalachian State’s TEs has 22 receptions in 3 games (7.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among FBS TEs. Boise State’s defense has allowed just 1.3 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs has gained 770 yards on 51 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 17.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 4,076 passing yards in 14 games (291.1 YPG) since the 2024 season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense has allowed 238.8 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State TEs have averaged 7.3 receptions per game (22/3) this season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3

Appalachian State’s WRs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State: Keys to the Game vs. Appalachian State

Boise State RBs have averaged 10.6 Yards per Carry (306 yards/29 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Boise State RBs have averaged 16.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (197 yards / 12 touches) on 3rd down this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 6.3

Boise State RBs have averaged 10.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (306 yards / 29 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

Boise State RBs have averaged 221.9 rushing yards per game (3,773/17) since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 127.4

Boise State’s WRs has gained 557 yards on 32 receptions (17.4 YPR) this season — 8th-best among FBS WRs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 15.4 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Appalachian State vs. Boise State

Boise State RBs have averaged 10.6 Yards per Carry (306 yards/29 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Boise State RBs have averaged 16.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (197 yards / 12 touches) on 3rd down this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 6.3

Boise State RBs have averaged 10.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (306 yards / 29 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

Boise State RBs have averaged 221.9 rushing yards per game (3,773/17) since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 127.4

Boise State’s WRs has gained 557 yards on 32 receptions (17.4 YPR) this season — 8th-best among FBS WRs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 15.4 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s TEs has 22 receptions in 3 games (7.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among FBS TEs. Boise State’s defense has allowed just 1.3 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs has gained 770 yards on 51 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 17.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 4,076 passing yards in 14 games (291.1 YPG) since the 2024 season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense has allowed 238.8 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State TEs have averaged 7.3 receptions per game (22/3) this season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3

Appalachian State’s WRs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State’s TEs has 22 receptions in 3 games (7.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among FBS TEs. Boise State’s defense has allowed just 1.3 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs has gained 770 yards on 51 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 17.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 4,076 passing yards in 14 games (291.1 YPG) since the 2024 season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense has allowed 238.8 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State TEs have averaged 7.3 receptions per game (22/3) this season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3

Appalachian State’s WRs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends

Boise State RBs have averaged 10.6 Yards per Carry (306 yards/29 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Boise State RBs have averaged 16.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (197 yards / 12 touches) on 3rd down this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 6.3

Boise State RBs have averaged 10.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (306 yards / 29 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

Boise State RBs have averaged 221.9 rushing yards per game (3,773/17) since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 127.4

Boise State’s WRs has gained 557 yards on 32 receptions (17.4 YPR) this season — 8th-best among FBS WRs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 15.4 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State Defensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State’s TEs has 22 receptions in 3 games (7.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among FBS TEs. Boise State’s defense has allowed just 1.3 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs has gained 770 yards on 51 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 17.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 4,076 passing yards in 14 games (291.1 YPG) since the 2024 season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense has allowed 238.8 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State TEs have averaged 7.3 receptions per game (22/3) this season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3

Appalachian State’s WRs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends

Boise State RBs have averaged 10.6 Yards per Carry (306 yards/29 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Boise State RBs have averaged 16.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (197 yards / 12 touches) on 3rd down this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 6.3

Boise State RBs have averaged 10.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (306 yards / 29 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

Boise State RBs have averaged 221.9 rushing yards per game (3,773/17) since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 127.4

Boise State’s WRs has gained 557 yards on 32 receptions (17.4 YPR) this season — 8th-best among FBS WRs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 15.4 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.


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