Alabama vs Oklahoma Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ College Football Playoffs

Oklahoma head coach Brent Venables watches from the sideline during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Cincinnati, Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Aaron Doster)
(AP Photo/Aaron Doster)
  • Oklahoma is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Alabama
  • Alabama vs. Oklahoma Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
  • TV Channel: TNT | HBOM

Alabama (10-3) visit Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium to take on Oklahoma (10-2) on Dec. 19 in Norman, OK. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.

Oklahoma is a betting favorite in the College Football Playoffs with the spread sitting at -1.5 (100).

The Alabama vs. Oklahoma Over/Under is 40.5 total points.

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Alabama vs. Oklahoma Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama+1.5 -12040.5 -110-115
Oklahoma -1.5 10040.5 -110-105

Alabama vs Oklahoma Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 50.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and Oklahoma, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Alabama vs Oklahoma Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 50.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+9.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.20 Units / 8% ROI)

Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Alabama is 8-4 against the spread this college football season (+3.6 Units / 25.17% ROI).

  • Alabama is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -1.73% ROI
  • Alabama is 4-9 when betting the Over for -5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI
  • Alabama is 9-4 when betting the Under for +4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI

Oklahoma Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma iss 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI).

  • Oklahoma is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 14.87% ROI
  • Oklahoma is 2-10 when betting the Over for -9 Units / -68.18% ROI
  • Oklahoma is 10-2 when betting the Under for +7.8 Units / 59.09% ROI

Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma

Alabama has allowed just 9.9 yards per completion (1,620 yards/164 completions) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 11.3

Alabama’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 18% of PATs last season– 3rd-highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Alabama opponents has averaged 6.7 Passing Attempts per TD (20 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-best in the SEC; Average: 3.9

Alabama allowed just 10.0 yards per completion (2,369 yards/236 completions) last season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 11.7

Alabama has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 17 of 263 attempts (7%) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 9%

Oklahoma: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama

Oklahoma is undefeated (6-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .645

Oklahoma was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Oklahoma is 1-2 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .488

Oklahoma is 1-2 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .525

Matchup Notes for Alabama vs. Oklahoma

Oklahoma is undefeated (6-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .645

Oklahoma was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Oklahoma is 1-2 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .488

Oklahoma is 1-2 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .525

Alabama has allowed just 9.9 yards per completion (1,620 yards/164 completions) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 11.3

Alabama’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 18% of PATs last season– 3rd-highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Alabama opponents has averaged 6.7 Passing Attempts per TD (20 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-best in the SEC; Average: 3.9

Alabama allowed just 10.0 yards per completion (2,369 yards/236 completions) last season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 11.7

Alabama has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 17 of 263 attempts (7%) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 9%

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

Alabama has allowed just 9.9 yards per completion (1,620 yards/164 completions) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 11.3

Alabama’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 18% of PATs last season– 3rd-highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Alabama opponents has averaged 6.7 Passing Attempts per TD (20 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-best in the SEC; Average: 3.9

Alabama allowed just 10.0 yards per completion (2,369 yards/236 completions) last season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 11.7

Alabama has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 17 of 263 attempts (7%) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 9%

Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma is undefeated (6-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .645

Oklahoma was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Oklahoma is 1-2 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .488

Oklahoma is 1-2 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .525

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends

Alabama has allowed just 9.9 yards per completion (1,620 yards/164 completions) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 11.3

Alabama’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 18% of PATs last season– 3rd-highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Alabama opponents has averaged 6.7 Passing Attempts per TD (20 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-best in the SEC; Average: 3.9

Alabama allowed just 10.0 yards per completion (2,369 yards/236 completions) last season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 11.7

Alabama has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 17 of 263 attempts (7%) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 9%

Oklahoma Defensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma is undefeated (6-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .645

Oklahoma was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Oklahoma is 1-2 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .488

Oklahoma is 1-2 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .525


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